Rep. John Barrow (D-Ga.) remains one of the most endangered incumbents in the country, but he also remains without a firm opponent, after Tuesday’s runoff failed to produce a clear winner. With all precincts reporting in the 12th District GOP runoff, state Rep. Lee Anderson led businessman Rick Allen by just 154 votes, 50.3 percent […]
Two weeks ago, we were preparing to move the Missouri Senate race from Toss-up/Tilt Republican to Lean Republican, if either businessman John Brunner or former state treasurer Sarah Steelman had won the GOP Senate primary on August 7 and the right to face Sen. Claire McCaskill (D). Now, after Republican Senate nominee Rep. Todd Akin’s […]
The NRCC’s Independent Expenditure campaign will launch TV ads tomorrow in four districts currently held by moderate Democrats who survived the 2010 GOP wave, and the ads are surprisingly different from each other. These initial ads are being released about a month earlier than they were aired during the 2010 cycle. Two years ago, the […]
Primary voters went to the polls in four states on Tuesday, solidifying general election contests and selecting new members in safe seats. At least one member of Congress was going down in Florida’s primaries on Tuesday — but in a surprise twist, it ended up likely being two. In the 3rd District, Rep. Cliff Stearns […]
In the Wisconsin Senate race, it’s officially a Tommy vs. Tammy showdown. A topsy-turvy GOP primary came to a close on Tuesday, with former governor Tommy Thompson clinching what once seemed like an unlikely comeback bid more than a decade after he left office. Thompson took 34 percent in the four-way race, with wealthy hedge […]
It’s time for another caution about polls and what they mean. The most recent set of six CBS News/New York Times state polls conducted by Quinnipiac University and the latest Fox News national poll should remind us how important each survey’s sample is in understanding the ballot test. A sample that seems disproportionately Democratic based […]
My reaction to hearing that Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney would pick U.S. Rep. Paul Ryan (Wis.) to be his running-mate was almost the same as when I heard John McCain had selected then-governor Sarah Palin (Alaska) to be his vice-president four years ago, though for very different reasons. Ryan, like Palin, is a bold […]
The fight for the Senate gives every indication that it will go down to the wire, with enough races still in play in late October so that neither party can feel completely confident about its prospects. Right now, control of the Senate appears to rest on the outcomes in five states – four of them […]