Analysis

4274 Results

Report Shorts (Oct. 23, 2025)

OCT 23, 2025

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New Hampshire Senate: Sununu Bid Boosts Republican Chances

by Nathan Gonzales

OCT 22, 2025

Former Sen. John E. Sununu announced a comeback bid in New Hampshire on Wednesday, boosting Republican chances of winning the seat near the core of the fight for Senate control in 2026. Republicans remain favored to maintain their majority at this stage of the cycle because Democrats need a net gain of four seats, including at least two…

The Most Evenly-Divided Counties in the Country

by Bradley Wascher

OCT 17, 2025

If you count the number of swing states on two hands, you will have more than a few fingers to spare. Not so at the county level. For the first time, Inside Elections has calculated Baseline scores for all 3,142 counties in the United States (excluding Kalawao County, Hawaii, the nation’s tiniest). Thirty-eight of those, or around 1…

Maine 2: Turning LePage on Golden?

by Jacob Rubashkin

OCT 9, 2025

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Arizona 6: Send the Marine

by Jacob Rubashkin

OCT 9, 2025

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Report Shorts (Oct. 9, 2025)

by Jacob Rubashkin

OCT 9, 2025

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Arizona 1: Open Seat Shifts to Toss-up

by Nathan Gonzales

OCT 2, 2025

One of the most competitive House races in the country has gotten a little more complicated with Republican Rep. David Schweikert announcing that he won’t seek re-election to Arizona’s 1st District. After winning by less than a point in 2022 and 4 points in 2024, Schweikert was near the top of Democratic target lists once again from his…

Tennessee 7 Special: Upset in the Making?

by Nathaniel Rakich

SEP 30, 2025

Throughout 2017 and into early 2018, election watchers kept seeing the same movie over and over: Special elections in heavily Republican areas were way closer than they had any right to be, as Donald Trump’s presidency galvanized Democratic voters and put several normally safe Republican districts into play. Eight years later, Trump is back in the White House…

A Detailed Analysis of Missouri’s New Congressional Map

by Nathaniel Rakich

SEP 29, 2025

The unprecedented redistricting arms race of 2025 continues apace. After Texas Republicans redrew their state’s congressional map with the goal of flipping from three to five House seats, California Democrats voted to place their own new congressional map before voters this November that would do the same thing. Now, Missouri Republicans are getting in on the act: This…