Analysis

4274 Results

12 Initial Takeaways from Tuesday’s Elections

NOV 5, 2025

While it may take a few days, or even weeks, to properly digest the 2025 elections, the results are clear: Democrats won decisively. In races from New Jersey and Virginia to Georgia and California, there really wasn’t any ambiguity about who won and who lost. Even though votes are still being counted and final margins aren’t yet known,…

New Jersey and Virginia: Key Counties to Watch

by Bradley Wascher

NOV 4, 2025

There are 154 counties and independent cities in New Jersey and Virginia, but which ones can tell us where Tuesday’s elections are headed? As polls close tonight, Inside Elections has put together a preview of key counties to watch in New Jersey and Virginia. Alongside the analysis below, we’ve calculated county-level benchmarks in both states. See benchmarks for…

Is Graham Platner Solving the Wrong Problem for Maine Democrats?

by Jacob Rubashkin

NOV 3, 2025

Ever since Graham Platner launched his campaign two months ago, the oysterman and political newcomer has dominated the conversation around Maine’s Senate race. But while Platner looks like the type of candidate who can help Democrats change the party’s national image, he might not be the right Democrat to defeat GOP Sen. Susan Collins, given the longtime incumbent’s…

A Detailed Analysis of Ohio’s New Congressional Map

by Nathaniel Rakich

OCT 31, 2025

In a major departure from normal redistricting practices, four states have now approved new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms. (A fifth, California, looks like it will enact a new map via ballot measure next week, and several other states are making moves to redraw as well.) But the latest to do so is not like the others.…

Why Cornyn is Still at Risk of Losing in Texas

by Nathan Gonzales

OCT 25, 2025

Republicans aligned with the party establishment are excited that Texas Sen. John Cornyn has closed the gap with primary challenger Ken Paxton in his high-profile reelection race. But the four-term incumbent is still extremely vulnerable. The GOP primary, now a three-way race between Cornyn, Paxton and Rep. Wesley Hunt, offers an example of how data can be presented…

A Detailed Analysis of North Carolina’s New Congressional Map

by Nathaniel Rakich

OCT 24, 2025

If there’s one state that’s accustomed to mid-decade redistricting, it’s North Carolina. The Tar Heel State drew itself new congressional districts for the 2016, 2020, 2022, and 2024 elections — and so it’s not too surprising that it’s jumping on the bandwagon of the 2026 cycle’s gerrymandering wars as well. As part of President Donald Trump’s push for…