Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

Wisconsin

Wisconsin has 10 electoral college votes and 8 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
DEversOPENToss-up
Toss-up
Senate I
DTammy BaldwinNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate III
RRon JohnsonNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
WI-01
RSteilSolid Republican
Solid Republican
WI-02
DPocanSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
WI-03
RVan OrdenToss-up
Toss-up
WI-04
DMooreSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
WI-05
RFitzgeraldSolid Republican
Solid Republican
WI-06
RGrothmanSolid Republican
Solid Republican
WI-07
RTiffanyOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
WI-08
RWiedSolid Republican
Solid Republican

Past Elections

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Baselines

About
2025+0.9D 49.7, R 48.8
2024
+0.9
2022
+1.1
2020
+0.5
2018
+0.1
2016
+3.3
2014
+2.8

Calendar

See All
JUN
1
2026
WI
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
11
2026
WI
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

See All

Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (April 9, 2026)

April 9, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 5, 2026)

February 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin