Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

Texas

Texas has 40 electoral college votes and 38 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
RAbbottSolid Republican
Solid Republican
Senate I
RCruzNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate II
RCornynOPENLikely Republican
Likely Republican
TX-01
RMoranSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-02
RCrenshawOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-03
RSelfSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-04
RFallonSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-05
RGoodenSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-06
REllzeySolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-07
DFletcherSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
TX-08
RLuttrellOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-09
DA. GreenOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-10
RMcCaulOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-11
RPflugerSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-12
RGoldmanSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-13
RJacksonSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-14
RWeberSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-15
RDe La CruzLean Republican
Lean Republican
TX-16
DEscobarSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
TX-17
RSessionsSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-18
DMenefeeSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
TX-19
RArringtonOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-20
DCastroSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
TX-21
RRoyOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-22
RNehlsOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-23
RVACANTSPECIALLikely Republican
Likely Republican
TX-24
RVan DuyneSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-25
RWilliamsSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-26
RGillSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-27
RCloudSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-28
DCuellarTilt Democrat
Tilt Democrat
TX-29
DS. GarciaSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
TX-30
DCrockettOPENSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
TX-31
RJ. CarterSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-32
DJulie JohnsonOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-33
DVeaseySolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
TX-34
DV. GonzalezToss-up
Toss-up
TX-35
DGreg CasarOPENLikely Republican
Likely Republican
TX-36
RBabinSolid Republican
Solid Republican
TX-37
DCasar, DoggettOPENSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
TX-38
RWesley HuntOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican

Past Elections

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Baselines

About
2025+10.9D 43.8, R 54.7
2024
+10.9
2022
+10.6
2020
+13.0
2018
+14.5
2016
+19.9
2014
+18.7

Calendar

See All
DEC
8
2025
TX
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAR
3
2026
TX
Primary Election Day
MAY
26
2026
TX
Primary Runoff
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

See All

Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

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Cornyn Loss Headlines Texas Primary Runoff Results

May 26, 2026
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Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

May 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Texas 34: New Flores, New District, Same Gonzalez

May 7, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin