Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

Oregon

Oregon has 8 electoral college votes and 6 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
DKotekLean Democrat
Lean Democrat
Senate II
DMerkleySolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
Senate III
DRon WydenNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
OR-01
DBonamiciSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
OR-02
RBentzSolid Republican
Solid Republican
OR-03
DDexterSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
OR-04
DHoyleSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
OR-05
DBynumSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
OR-06
DSalinasSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat

Past Elections

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Baselines

About
2025+11.7D 53.8, R 42.1
2024
+11.7
2022
+11.0
2020
+11.7
2018
+12.2
2016
+11.2
2014
+11.1

Calendar

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MAR
10
2026
OR
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
19
2026
OR
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Alabama, Oregon Primary Results

May 20, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (Feb. 5, 2026)

February 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 5, 2026)

February 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Podcast Episode 64: ICE Shootings + Minnesota Politics w/ Ryan Faircloth of Star Tribune

February 1, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales