Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

Ohio

Ohio has 17 electoral college votes and 15 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
RDeWineOPENLean Republican
Lean Republican
Senate I
RMorenoNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate III
RJon HustedTilt Republican
Tilt Republican
OH-01
DLandsmanTilt Democrat
Tilt Democrat
OH-02
RTaylorSolid Republican
Solid Republican
OH-03
DBeattySolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
OH-04
RJordanSolid Republican
Solid Republican
OH-05
RLattaSolid Republican
Solid Republican
OH-06
RRulliSolid Republican
Solid Republican
OH-07
RMillerLikely Republican
Likely Republican
OH-08
RDavidsonSolid Republican
Solid Republican
OH-09
DKapturTilt Republican
Tilt Republican
OH-10
RTurnerSolid Republican
Solid Republican
OH-11
DBrownSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
OH-12
RBaldersonSolid Republican
Solid Republican
OH-13
DSykesSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
OH-14
RD. JoyceSolid Republican
Solid Republican
OH-15
RCareySolid Republican
Solid Republican

Past Elections

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Baselines

About
2025+10.0D 44.4, R 54.4
2024
+10.0
2022
+11.0
2020
+11.5
2018
+9.5
2016
+12.3
2014
+8.3

Calendar

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FEB
4
2026
OH
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
5
2026
OH
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Ohio & Indiana Primaries: Republicans Choose Challengers in Key House Races

May 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ohio Senate: Can Husted Hold On?

March 26, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (March 26, 2026)

March 26, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin