Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

New Mexico

New Mexico has 5 electoral college votes and 3 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
DLujan GrishamOPENLikely Democrat
Likely Democrat
Senate I
DHeinrichNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate II
DLujanSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
NM-01
DStansburySolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
NM-02
DVasquezTilt Democrat
Tilt Democrat
NM-03
DLeger FernandezSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat

Past Elections

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Baselines

About
2025+11.0D 54.6, R 43.6
2024
+11.0
2022
+10.8
2020
+9.8
2018
+10.2
2016
+4.9
2014
+6.0

Calendar

See All
FEB
3
2026
NM
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
2
2026
NM
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Senate Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Governor Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Primary Results in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota

June 4, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin