Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

New Jersey

New Jersey has 14 electoral college votes and 12 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
DMikie SherrillNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate I
DAndy KimNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate II
DBookerSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
NJ-01
DNorcrossSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
NJ-02
RVan DrewSolid Republican
Solid Republican
NJ-03
DConawaySolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
NJ-04
RC. SmithSolid Republican
Solid Republican
NJ-05
DGottheimerSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
NJ-06
DPalloneSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
NJ-07
RKeanTilt Democrat
Tilt Democrat
NJ-08
DMenendezSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
NJ-09
DPouLean Democrat
Lean Democrat
NJ-10
DMcIverSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
NJ-11
DMejiaSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
NJ-12
DWatson ColemanOPENSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat

Past Elections

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Baselines

About
2025+11.8D 55.0, R 43.2
2024
+11.3
2022
+13.1
2020
+13.6
2018
+12.2
2016
+9.5
2014
+9.7

Calendar

See All
MAR
23
2026
NJ
Candidate Filing Deadline
APR
16
2026
NJ-11
Special Election Day
JUN
2
2026
NJ
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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