Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

New Hampshire

New Hampshire has 4 electoral college votes and 2 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
RAyotteSolid Republican
Solid Republican
Senate II
DJeanne ShaheenOPENTilt Democrat
Tilt Democrat
Senate III
DMaggie HassanNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
NH-01
DPappasOPENLean Democrat
Lean Democrat
NH-02
DGoodlanderLikely Democrat
Likely Democrat

Past Elections

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Baselines

About
2025+2.3D 50.4, R 48.1
2024
+2.3
2022
+2.1
2020
+2.8
2018
+3.3
2016
+2.2
2014
+5.5

Calendar

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JUN
12
2026
NH
Candidate Filing Deadline
SEP
8
2026
NH
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House: Money Isn’t Enough to Save Incumbents in Wave Elections

February 11, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales