Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

Minnesota

Minnesota has 10 electoral college votes and 8 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
DWalzOPENLikely Democrat
Likely Democrat
Senate I
DAmy KlobucharNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate II
DT. SmithOPENLikely Democrat
Likely Democrat
MN-01
RFinstadSolid Republican
Solid Republican
MN-02
DCraigOPENLikely Democrat
Likely Democrat
MN-03
DMorrisonSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
MN-04
DMcCollumSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
MN-05
DOmarSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
MN-06
REmmerSolid Republican
Solid Republican
MN-07
RFischbachSolid Republican
Solid Republican
MN-08
RStauberSolid Republican
Solid Republican

Past Elections

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Baselines

About
2025+6.9D 51.7, R 44.8
2024
+6.9
2022
+6.4
2020
+7.4
2018
+9.2
2016
+6.7
2014
+8.0

Calendar

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JUN
2
2026
MN
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
11
2026
MN
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 5, 2026)

February 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 5, 2026)

February 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin