Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

Michigan

Michigan has 15 electoral college votes and 13 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
DGretchen WhitmerOPENTilt Democrat
Tilt Democrat
Senate I
DSlotkinNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate II
DPetersOPENToss-up
Toss-up
MI-01
RBergmanSolid Republican
Solid Republican
MI-02
RMoolenarSolid Republican
Solid Republican
MI-03
DScholtenLikely Democrat
Likely Democrat
MI-04
RHuizengaLean Republican
Lean Republican
MI-05
RWalbergSolid Republican
Solid Republican
MI-06
DDingellSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
MI-07
RBarrettToss-up
Toss-up
MI-08
DMcDonald RivetLikely Democrat
Likely Democrat
MI-09
RMcClainSolid Republican
Solid Republican
MI-10
RJamesOPENTilt Republican
Tilt Republican
MI-11
DStevensOPENSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
MI-12
DTlaibSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
MI-13
DThanedarSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat

Past Elections

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Baselines

About
2025+4.5D 51.0, R 46.5
2024
+4.5
2022
+5.0
2020
+1.9
2018
+3.7
2016
+1.4
2014
+1.8

Calendar

See All
APR
21
2026
MI
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
4
2026
MI
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

House Overview (March 12, 2026): Kentucky – New York

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

First-Time Candidates Enter the Ring in Key House Race

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin