Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

Iowa

Iowa has 6 electoral college votes and 4 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
RReynoldsOPENToss-up
Toss-up
Senate II
RErnstOPENLean Republican
Lean Republican
Senate III
RGrassleyNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
IA-01
RMiller-MeeksToss-up
Toss-up
IA-02
RHinsonOPENLikely Republican
Likely Republican
IA-03
RNunnTilt Republican
Tilt Republican
IA-04
RFeenstraOPENSolid Republican
Solid Republican

Past Elections

Subscribe

To view past election results you'll need to have access to an active subscription.

Sign UpLogin

Podcasts

Listen
No podcasts found for this election year.

Share

Twitter (X) Facebook Email

Baselines

About
2025+7.1D 45.7, R 52.8
2024
+7.1
2022
+7.4
2020
+5.7
2018
+4.3
2016
+8.0
2014
+4.3

Calendar

See All
MAR
13
2026
IA
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
2
2026
IA
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

See All

Gubernatorial Overview (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

Senate Report Shorts (June 25, 2026)

June 25, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan Gonzales & Inshara Ali

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Senate Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Governor Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin