Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Likely Republican

Senate 5

State
Incumbent
IA
R Ernst
OPEN Likely R
MT
R Daines
OPEN Likely R
NE
R Pete Ricketts
Likely R
SC
R Lindsey O. Graham
Likely R
TX
R Cornyn
Likely R

Governor 2

State
Incumbent
IA
R Reynolds
OPEN Likely R
OH
R DeWine
OPEN Likely R

House 15

District
Incumbent
AK-AL
R Begich
Likely R
AZ-02
R Crane
Likely R
CO-03
R Hurd
Likely R
CO-05
R Crank
Likely R
FL-13
R Luna
Likely R
FL-27
R Salazar
Likely R
FL-07
R Mills
Likely R
FL-09
D Soto
Likely R
IA-02
R Hinson
OPEN Likely R
ME-02
D Golden
OPEN Likely R
MT-01
R Zinke
OPEN Likely R
NC-11
R Edwards
Likely R
TX-15
R De La Cruz
Likely R
TX-23
R VACANT
OPEN Likely R
TX-35
D Greg Casar
OPEN Likely R
Solid D 201 Likely D 13 Lean D 9 Tilt D 8 Toss-up 21 Tilt R 10 Lean R 7 Likely R 22 Solid R 216