Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Virginia
Senate

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +6.8
D: 53.1%, R: 46.3%

Class II

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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APR
2
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
APR
21
2026
Redistricting Referendum
AUG
4
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

May 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 22, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

12 Initial Takeaways from Tuesday’s Elections

November 5, 2025
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Sept. 25, 2025)

September 25, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (July 10, 2025)

July 10, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (May 1, 2025)

May 1, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

April 17, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
January 9, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
January 9, 2025
Solid Democrat
2024
July 28, 2023
Solid Democrat
January 6, 2023
Battleground Democrat
2022
January 8, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
December 15, 2020
Solid Democrat
January 4, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
January 4, 2019
Solid Democrat
2018
January 5, 2018
Solid Democrat
January 13, 2017
Likely Democrat
2016
January 9, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
January 17, 2014
Likely Democrat
January 25, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
January 25, 2013
Solid Democrat
2012
February 10, 2011
Toss-up
January 28, 2011
Tilt Democrat
2010
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+6.8D 53.1, R 46.3
2024
+5.0
2022
+5.5
2020
+8.1
2018
+5.1
2016
+3.1
2014
+0.0