Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

Virginia

Virginia has 13 electoral college votes and 11 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
DAbigail SpanbergerNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate I
DTim KaineNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate II
DMark WarnerSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
Solid Democrat
VA-01
RWittmanLean Republican
Lean Republican
Lean Republican
VA-02
RKiggansToss-up
Toss-up
Toss-up
VA-03
DScottSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
Solid Democrat
VA-04
DMcClellanSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
Solid Democrat
VA-05
RMcGuireLikely Republican
Likely Republican
Likely Republican
VA-06
RClineSolid Republican
Solid Republican
Solid Republican
VA-07
DEugene VindmanLikely Democrat
Likely Democrat
Likely Democrat
VA-08
DBeyerSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
Solid Democrat
VA-09
RGriffithSolid Republican
Solid Republican
Solid Republican
VA-10
DSubramanyamSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
Solid Democrat
VA-11
DWalkinshawSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
Solid Democrat

Past Elections

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Baselines

About
2025+6.8D 53.1, R 46.3
2024
+5.0
2022
+5.5
2020
+8.1
2018
+5.1
2016
+3.1
2014
+0.0

Calendar

See All
APR
2
2026
VA
Candidate Filing Deadline
APR
21
2026
VA
Redistricting Referendum
AUG
4
2026
VA
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

See All

Where White Women Could Swing in November

October 15, 2026
by Bradley Wascher

Following the Money: Disagreements on the House Battleground

October 7, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

House Report Shorts (Oct. 1, 2026)

October 1, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Aug. 20, 2026)

August 20, 2026
by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

Senate Report Shorts (August 6, 2026)

August 6, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nicholas Demba