Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
Ratings

Virginia

Virginia has 13 electoral college votes and 11 congressional districts.

Office
Incumbent
Rating
Governor
DAbigail SpanbergerNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate I
DKaineNot Up This Cycle
Not Up This Cycle
Senate II
DWarnerSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
VA-01
RWittmanLean Republican
Lean Republican
VA-02
RKiggansToss-up
Toss-up
VA-03
DScottSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
VA-04
DMcClellanSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
VA-05
RMcGuireSolid Republican
Solid Republican
VA-06
RClineSolid Republican
Solid Republican
VA-07
DEugene VindmanVindmanLikely Democrat
Likely Democrat
VA-08
DBeyerSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
VA-09
RGriffithSolid Republican
Solid Republican
VA-10
DSubramanyamSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat
VA-11
DWalkinshawSolid Democrat
Solid Democrat

Past Elections

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Baselines

About
2025+6.8D 53.1, R 46.3
2024
+5.0
2022
+5.5
2020
+8.1
2018
+5.1
2016
+3.1
2014
+0.0

Calendar

See All
APR
2
2026
VA
Candidate Filing Deadline
APR
21
2026
VA
Redistricting Referendum
AUG
4
2026
VA
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

May 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Virginia Caps Off Wild Week of Redistricting Ratings Changes

May 8, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Virginia 2: A Rematch at the Beach

May 7, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Virginia House: Four House Races Shift To Democrats

April 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin