Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Pennsylvania
Senate

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +1.7
D: 49.7%, R: 48%

Class I

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Class III

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
10
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
19
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

May 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Alabama, Oregon Primary Results

May 20, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (July 10, 2025)

July 10, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Jan. 24, 2025)

January 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
January 9, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2024
July 28, 2023
Tilt Democrat
January 6, 2023
Battleground Democrat
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
August 25, 2022
Toss-up
January 7, 2022
Tilt Republican
January 8, 2021
Battleground Republican
January 4, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2020
January 4, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
October 26, 2018
Solid Democrat
April 20, 2018
Likely Democrat
January 13, 2017
Lean Democrat
January 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
August 19, 2016
Toss-up
January 9, 2015
Tilt Republican
2014
January 25, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
2012
October 19, 2012
Likely Democrat
August 1, 2011
Solid Democrat
January 28, 2011
Likely Democrat
January 1, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
September 6, 2010
Tilt Republican
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle
June 24, 2010
Toss-up

Baselines

About
2025+1.7D 49.7, R 48.0
2024
+1.7
2022
+4.1
2020
+3.6
2018
+6.5
2016
+4.0
2014
+6.0