Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Ohio
Senate

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Current Rating

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Tilt R

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +10.0
D: 44.4%, R: 54.4%

2026 Election

Class III

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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FEB
4
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAY
5
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Ohio Senate: Can Husted Hold On?

March 26, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 22, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ohio Senate: Brown Decision Shifts Race Out of Solid

August 12, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2026): North Carolina – Wyoming

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (July 10, 2025)

July 10, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

April 17, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Jan. 24, 2025)

January 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Florida and Ohio Appointments Fill Out Senate Battlefield

January 17, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 9, 2025): North Carolina – Wyoming

January 9, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
April 23, 2026
Tilt Republican
August 12, 2025
Lean Republican
January 17, 2025
Solid Republican
January 9, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
January 9, 2025
Solid Republican
2024
July 28, 2023
Toss-up
January 6, 2023
Battleground Democrat
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
October 7, 2022
Lean Republican
August 25, 2022
Likely Republican
January 25, 2021
Solid Republican
January 8, 2021
Solid Republican
2020
January 4, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
2018
October 26, 2018
Solid Democrat
July 6, 2018
Likely Democrat
January 13, 2017
Lean Democrat
January 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
September 30, 2016
Likely Republican
September 2, 2016
Lean Republican
March 4, 2016
Tilt Republican
January 9, 2015
Lean Republican
2014
January 25, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
2012
September 28, 2012
Lean Democrat
August 1, 2011
Tilt Democrat
January 28, 2011
Lean Democrat
January 1, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
October 8, 2010
Likely Republican
September 17, 2010
Lean Republican
August 24, 2010
Tilt Republican
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle
June 24, 2010
Toss-up

Baselines

About
2025+10.0D 44.4, R 54.4
2024
+10.0
2022
+11.0
2020
+11.5
2018
+9.5
2016
+12.3
2014
+8.3