Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

New Jersey
Senate

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Not Up This Cycle

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +11.8
D: 55%, R: 43.2%

Class I

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Class II

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
23
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
2
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Senate Report Shorts (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Primary Results in Iowa, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota

June 4, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

May 21, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (Feb. 19, 2026)

February 19, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

12 Initial Takeaways from Tuesday’s Elections

November 5, 2025
by Nathan Gonzales

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (July 10, 2025)

July 10, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): Kentucky – New Mexico

April 17, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
January 9, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
January 9, 2025
Solid Democrat
2024
January 9, 2025
Not Up This Cycle
August 29, 2024
Solid Democrat
February 9, 2024
Solid Democrat
September 22, 2023
Likely Democrat
January 6, 2023
Solid Democrat
2022
January 8, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
2020
December 15, 2020
Solid Democrat
January 4, 2019
Not Up This Cycle
January 4, 2019
Solid Democrat
2018
October 12, 2018
Likely Democrat
January 13, 2017
Solid Democrat
2016
January 9, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
2014
October 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
June 14, 2013
Solid Democrat
June 4, 2013
Solid Democrat
February 14, 2013
Solid Democrat
January 25, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
January 25, 2013
Solid Democrat
2012
January 28, 2011
Solid Democrat
2010
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle

Baselines

About
2025+11.8D 55.0, R 43.2
2024
+11.3
2022
+13.1
2020
+13.6
2018
+12.2
2016
+9.5
2014
+9.7