Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Arkansas
Senate

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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Solid R

2025 Baseline

What's This?
R +31.5
D: 33.2%, R: 64.7%

2026 Election

Class II

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Class III

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Past Elections

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Calendar

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NOV
11
2025
Candidate Filing Deadline
MAR
3
2026
Primary Election Day
MAR
31
2026
Primary Runoff
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Senate Report Shorts (March 12, 2026)

March 12, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales & Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Oct. 23, 2025): Alabama – Kansas

October 23, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (July 24, 2025): Alabama – Kansas

July 24, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (April 17, 2025): Alabama – Kansas

April 17, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 Senate Overview (Jan. 9, 2025): Alabama – Kansas

January 9, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2026
January 9, 2025
Solid Republican
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2024
January 6, 2023
Not Up This Cycle
2022
January 8, 2021
Not Up This Cycle
January 8, 2021
Solid Republican
2020
December 15, 2020
Solid Republican
January 4, 2019
Solid Republican
2018
January 13, 2017
Not Up This Cycle
2016
January 9, 2015
Not Up This Cycle
January 9, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
October 13, 2014
Lean Republican
December 19, 2013
Tilt Republican
May 21, 2013
Toss-up
January 25, 2013
Tilt Democrat
January 25, 2013
Not Up This Cycle
2012
January 1, 2011
Not Up This Cycle
2010
September 6, 2010
Likely Republican
June 24, 2010
Not Up This Cycle
June 24, 2010
Lean Republican

Baselines

About
2025+31.5D 33.2, R 64.7
2024
+31.5
2022
+30.6
2020
+23.0
2018
+22.8
2016
+15.8
2014
+14.8