Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Virginia
President

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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No Rating

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +6.8
D: 53.1%, R: 46.3%

2026 Election

Incumbents

  • Vacant

Candidates

Unopposed

Past Elections

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Calendar

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APR
2
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
APR
21
2026
Redistricting Referendum
AUG
4
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

See All

12 Dates that Define the 2022 Midterm Elections

November 7, 2022
by Nathan Gonzales

Electoral College Outlook: Biden Has the Edge

July 17, 2020
by Nathan Gonzales

6 Districts Where the Fight for the House and President Converge

March 7, 2016
by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2024
April 26, 2023
Likely Democrat
April 26, 2023
Likely Democrat
2020
March 8, 2019
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2019
Solid Democrat
2016
October 14, 2016
Likely Democrat
October 14, 2016
Likely Democrat
August 19, 2016
Lean Democrat
May 19, 2016
Tilt Democrat
May 19, 2016
Tilt Democrat
March 6, 2015
Toss-up
2012
October 5, 2012
Toss-up
October 5, 2012
Toss-up
September 21, 2012
Lean Democrat
April 6, 2012
Toss-up
April 6, 2012
Toss-up
March 9, 2012
Lean Republican
February 24, 2012
Solid Democrat
February 24, 2012
Solid Democrat
January 27, 2012
Lean Democrat
January 27, 2012
Lean Republican
December 16, 2011
Lean Democrat
December 16, 2011
Lean Republican
December 2, 2011
Lean Republican

Baselines

About
2025+6.8D 53.1, R 46.3
2024
+5.0
2022
+5.5
2020
+8.1
2018
+5.1
2016
+3.1
2014
+0.0