Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Nevada
President

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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No Rating

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +1.5
D: 48.7%, R: 47.2%

2026 Election

No persons found for this state, office, and election year.

Past Elections

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Calendar

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MAR
13
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
JUN
9
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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2024 Presidential Battlegrounds: Nevada

May 9, 2024
by Bradley Wascher

Presidential Rating Change: Nevada Shifts to Toss-up

May 8, 2024
by Nathan Gonzales

Electoral College Outlook: Biden Has the Edge

July 17, 2020
by Nathan Gonzales

6 Districts Where the Fight for the House and President Converge

March 7, 2016
by Nathan Gonzales

Don’t Call it a Push Poll: Bernie Sanders Campaign Edition

February 22, 2016
by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2024
May 8, 2024
Toss-up
May 8, 2024
Toss-up
April 26, 2023
Tilt Democrat
April 26, 2023
Tilt Democrat
2020
April 3, 2020
Likely Democrat
April 3, 2020
Likely Democrat
March 8, 2019
Lean Democrat
2016
September 16, 2016
Tilt Democrat
September 16, 2016
Tilt Democrat
August 19, 2016
Lean Democrat
March 6, 2015
Likely Democrat
March 6, 2015
Likely Democrat
2012
March 9, 2012
Toss-up
March 9, 2012
Toss-up
February 24, 2012
Solid Democrat
February 24, 2012
Solid Democrat
January 27, 2012
Lean Democrat
January 27, 2012
Toss-up
January 27, 2012
Toss-up
December 16, 2011
Lean Democrat
December 16, 2011
Toss-up
December 16, 2011
Toss-up
December 2, 2011
Toss-up
December 2, 2011
Toss-up

Baselines

About
2025+1.5D 48.7, R 47.2
2024
+1.5
2022
+1.8
2020
+2.5
2018
+2.3
2016
+3.1
2014
+2.6