New Jersey
President

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Current Rating

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2025 Baseline

What's This?

D +11.8

D: 55%, R: 43.2%

2026 Election

Incumbents

Vacant

Candidates

Unopposed

Past Elections

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Podcasts

Podcast Episode 65: Even Primaries are Big in Texas w/ Gabby Birenbaum of Texas Tribune

February 12, 2026

Podcast Episode 64: ICE Shootings + Minnesota Politics w/ Ryan Faircloth of Star Tribune

February 1, 2026

Podcast Episode 63: 2026 Predictions with Jonathan Martin of Politico

January 15, 2026

Podcast Episode 60: What Should Republicans, Democrats be Thankful For? w/ Kirk Bado of NJ’s Hotline

November 26, 2025

Podcast Episode 59: 2025 Election Results + Shutdown Politics w/ Leah Askarinam of the AP

November 12, 2025

Calendar

MAR

23

2026

Candidate Filing Deadline

JUN

2

2026

Primary Election Day

NOV

3

2026

Election Day

Analysis

The Political Calculations and Consequences of Harris’s Vice Presidential Considerations

July 24, 2024

by Jacob Rubashkin

Electoral College Outlook: Biden Has the Edge

July 17, 2020

by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2024

April 26, 2023

Solid Democrat

2020

March 8, 2019

Solid Democrat

2016

March 6, 2015

Solid Democrat

2012

December 2, 2011

Solid Democrat

December 2, 2011

Solid Democrat

Baselines

2025+11.8D 55.0, R 43.2

2024

+11.3

2022

+13.1

2020

+13.6

2018

+12.2

2016

+9.5

2014

+9.7