Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

New Hampshire
President

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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No Rating

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +2.3
D: 50.4%, R: 48.1%

2026 Election

Incumbents

  • Vacant

Candidates

Unopposed

Past Elections

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Calendar

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JUN
12
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
SEP
8
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

See All

Electoral College Outlook: Biden Has the Edge

July 17, 2020
by Nathan Gonzales

The Most Important Question to Ask Trump Defectors

August 12, 2016
by Nathan Gonzales

6 Districts Where the Fight for the House and President Converge

March 7, 2016
by Nathan Gonzales

Trying to Make Sense of the Post-New Hampshire Republican Race

February 10, 2016
by Nathan Gonzales

Voters Don’t Fit Neatly Into Presidential Primary Lanes

February 9, 2016
by Nathan Gonzales

Why Was Fiorina Denied Ad Time During the Debate?

February 8, 2016
by Nathan Gonzales

Handicapping the GOP Race Past Iowa

February 1, 2016
by Stuart Rothenberg

Goldwater vs. McGovern in 2016?

January 20, 2016
by Stuart Rothenberg

Can Rubio Win Even If He Loses?

January 13, 2016
by Stuart Rothenberg

Obama’s Empty Campaign Threat on Gun Control

January 12, 2016
by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2024
April 26, 2023
Lean Democrat
2020
October 16, 2020
Likely Democrat
October 16, 2020
Likely Democrat
March 8, 2019
Lean Democrat
2016
August 19, 2016
Lean Democrat
March 6, 2015
Tilt Democrat
March 6, 2015
Tilt Democrat
2012
October 26, 2012
Toss-up
October 26, 2012
Toss-up
October 5, 2012
Lean Democrat
March 9, 2012
Toss-up
March 9, 2012
Toss-up
February 24, 2012
Solid Democrat
February 24, 2012
Solid Democrat
December 2, 2011
Toss-up
December 2, 2011
Toss-up

Baselines

About
2025+2.3D 50.4, R 48.1
2024
+2.3
2022
+2.1
2020
+2.8
2018
+3.3
2016
+2.2
2014
+5.5