Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980

Minnesota
President

State Map

State map

Current Rating

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No Rating

2025 Baseline

What's This?
D +6.9
D: 51.7%, R: 44.8%

2026 Election

No persons found for this state, office, and election year.

Past Elections

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Calendar

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JUN
2
2026
Candidate Filing Deadline
AUG
11
2026
Primary Election Day
NOV
3
2026
Election Day

Analysis

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Presidential: Walz Joins Harris on Democratic Ticket

August 7, 2024
by Nathan Gonzales

Electoral College Outlook: Biden Has the Edge

July 17, 2020
by Nathan Gonzales

Don’t Forget Arizona and Minnesota in Presidential Contest

December 6, 2019
by Stuart Rothenberg

Ratings

2024
April 26, 2023
Lean Democrat
2020
July 17, 2020
Likely Democrat
July 17, 2020
Likely Democrat
April 3, 2020
Lean Democrat
March 8, 2019
Likely Democrat
2016
March 6, 2015
Likely Democrat
March 6, 2015
Likely Democrat
2012
November 2, 2012
Lean Democrat
September 14, 2012
Solid Democrat
September 14, 2012
Solid Democrat
March 9, 2012
Lean Democrat
February 24, 2012
Solid Democrat
February 24, 2012
Solid Democrat
January 27, 2012
Solid Democrat
January 27, 2012
Lean Democrat
January 27, 2012
Solid Democrat
December 16, 2011
Solid Democrat
December 16, 2011
Lean Democrat
December 16, 2011
Solid Democrat
December 2, 2011
Lean Democrat

Baselines

About
2025+6.9D 51.7, R 44.8
2024
+6.9
2022
+6.4
2020
+7.4
2018
+9.2
2016
+6.7
2014
+8.0