New Hampshire
President

State Map

State map

Final Rating

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Lean D

2024 Baseline

What's This?

D +2.3

D: 50.4%, R: 48.1%

2024 Election

Incumbents

Vacant

Candidates

Unopposed

Past Elections

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Analysis

Electoral College Outlook: Biden Has the Edge

July 17, 2020

by Nathan Gonzales

The Most Important Question to Ask Trump Defectors

August 12, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

6 Districts Where the Fight for the House and President Converge

March 7, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Trying to Make Sense of the Post-New Hampshire Republican Race

February 10, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Voters Don’t Fit Neatly Into Presidential Primary Lanes

February 9, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Why Was Fiorina Denied Ad Time During the Debate?

February 8, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Handicapping the GOP Race Past Iowa

February 1, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

Goldwater vs. McGovern in 2016?

January 20, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

Can Rubio Win Even If He Loses?

January 13, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

Obama’s Empty Campaign Threat on Gun Control

January 12, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Ratings

2024

April 26, 2023

Lean Democrat

2020

October 16, 2020

Likely Democrat

October 16, 2020

Likely Democrat

March 8, 2019

Lean Democrat

2016

August 19, 2016

Lean Democrat

March 6, 2015

Tilt Democrat

March 6, 2015

Tilt Democrat

2012

October 26, 2012

Toss-up

October 26, 2012

Toss-up

October 5, 2012

Lean Democrat

March 9, 2012

Toss-up

March 9, 2012

Toss-up

February 24, 2012

Solid Democrat

February 24, 2012

Solid Democrat

December 2, 2011

Toss-up

December 2, 2011

Toss-up

Baselines

2025+2.3D 50.4, R 48.1

2024

+2.3

2022

+2.1

2020

+2.8

2018

+3.3

2016

+2.2

2014

+5.5