Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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Ohio
House

State Map

State map

Final Rating

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Lean D

2024 Baseline

What's This?
R +10.0
D: 44.4%, R: 54.4%

2024 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

Unopposed

Campaign Finance Data

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Past Elections

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President

2020
45.2%
53.3%
D
Democrat
2,679,165 (45.2%)
R
✓Republican
3,154,834 (53.3%)
Other
88,203 (1.5%)
2016
43.6%
51.7%
D
Democrat
2,394,164 (43.6%)
R
✓Republican
2,841,005 (51.7%)
Other
261,318 (4.8%)
2012
50.7%
47.7%
D
✓Democrat
2,827,709 (50.7%)
R
Republican
2,661,439 (47.7%)
Other
91,791 (1.6%)
2008
51.5%
46.9%
D
✓Democrat
2,940,044 (51.5%)
R
Republican
2,677,820 (46.9%)
Other
90,486 (1.6%)

Senate

2022
46.9%
53%
D
Democrat
1,939,489 (46.9%)
R
✓Republican
2,192,114 (53%)
Other
1,739 (0%)
2018
53.4%
46.6%
D
✓Democrat
2,355,923 (53.4%)
R
Republican
2,053,963 (46.6%)
Other
1,012 (0%)
2016
37.2%
58%
D
Democrat
1,996,908 (37.2%)
R
✓Republican
3,118,567 (58%)
Other
258,689 (4.8%)
2012
50.7%
44.7%
D
✓Democrat
2,762,766 (50.7%)
R
Republican
2,435,744 (44.7%)
Other
250,618 (4.6%)
2010
39.4%
56.8%
D
Democrat
1,503,297 (39.4%)
R
✓Republican
2,168,742 (56.8%)
Other
143,059 (3.7%)

Governor

2022
37.4%
62.4%
D
Democrat
1,545,489 (37.4%)
R
✓Republican
2,580,424 (62.4%)
Other
8,964 (0.2%)
2018
46.7%
50.4%
D
Democrat
2,067,847 (46.7%)
R
✓Republican
2,231,917 (50.4%)
Other
129,818 (2.9%)
2014
33%
63.6%
D
Democrat
1,009,359 (33%)
R
✓Republican
1,944,848 (63.6%)
Other
101,706 (3.3%)
2010
47%
49%
D
Democrat
1,812,059 (47%)
R
✓Republican
1,889,186 (49%)
Other
151,224 (3.9%)

Attorney General

2022
D
Democrat
1,647,644 (39.9%)
R
✓Republican
2,484,753 (60.1%)
2018
D
Democrat
2,084,593 (47.8%)
R
✓Republican
2,272,440 (52.2%)
2014
D
Democrat
1,178,426 (38.5%)
R
✓Republican
1,882,048 (61.5%)
2010
D
Democrat
1,772,728 (46.3%)
R
✓Republican
1,821,414 (47.5%)
Other
237,586 (6.2%)
2008
D
✓Democrat
2,890,953 (56.8%)
R
Republican
1,956,252 (38.4%)
Other
246,002 (4.8%)

Auditor

2022
D
Democrat
1,683,216 (41.3%)
R
✓Republican
2,397,207 (58.7%)
2018
D
Democrat
2,006,204 (46.3%)
R
✓Republican
2,152,769 (49.7%)
Other
175,790 (4.1%)
2014
D
Democrat
1,149,305 (38.3%)
R
✓Republican
1,711,927 (57%)
Other
143,363 (4.8%)
2010
D
Democrat
1,683,330 (44.9%)
R
✓Republican
1,882,010 (50.2%)
Other
182,534 (4.9%)

Secretary of State

2022
D
Democrat
1,635,824 (39.7%)
R
✓Republican
2,444,382 (59.3%)
Other
42,753 (1%)
2018
D
Democrat
2,049,944 (47%)
R
✓Republican
2,210,356 (50.7%)
Other
103,471 (2.4%)
2014
D
Democrat
1,074,475 (35.5%)
R
✓Republican
1,811,020 (59.8%)
Other
141,292 (4.7%)
2010
D
Democrat
1,555,705 (41.5%)
R
✓Republican
2,013,674 (53.7%)
Other
182,977 (4.9%)

Treasurer

2022
D
Democrat
1,692,160 (41.4%)
R
✓Republican
2,390,542 (58.6%)
2018
D
Democrat
2,022,016 (46.7%)
R
✓Republican
2,304,444 (53.3%)
2014
D
Democrat
1,323,325 (43.4%)
R
✓Republican
1,724,060 (56.6%)
2010
D
Democrat
1,525,992 (40.6%)
R
✓Republican
2,050,142 (54.5%)
Other
184,478 (4.9%)

U.S. House Composite

2022
D
Democrat
1,738,315 (43.4%)
R
✓Republican
2,271,492 (56.6%)
2020
D
Democrat
2,451,500 (42.5%)
R
✓Republican
3,252,887 (56.5%)
Other
57,153 (1%)
2018
D
Democrat
2,082,684 (47.3%)
R
✓Republican
2,291,333 (52%)
Other
32,341 (0.7%)
2016
D
Democrat
2,154,523 (41.3%)
R
✓Republican
2,996,017 (57.4%)
Other
67,815 (1.3%)
2010
D
Democrat
1,611,112 (42.1%)
R
✓Republican
2,053,075 (53.7%)
Other
161,087 (4.2%)
2008
D
✓Democrat
2,752,111 (51.2%)
R
Republican
2,491,498 (46.4%)
Other
130,731 (2.4%)

Podcasts

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Analysis

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Ohio & Indiana Primaries: Republicans Choose Challengers in Key House Races

May 5, 2026
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (January 22, 2026)

January 22, 2026
by Nathan Gonzales

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December 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

A Detailed Analysis of Ohio’s New Congressional Map

October 31, 2025
by Nathaniel Rakich

2026 House Overview (Sept. 11, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin

September 11, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Parties Engage in Redistricting Arms Race

August 14, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (July 10, 2025)

July 10, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (June 5, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin

June 5, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (May 15, 2025)

May 15, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

2026 House Overview (March 7, 2025): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 7, 2025
by Jacob Rubashkin

Ratings

2024
October 18, 2024
Lean Democrat
October 10, 2024
Solid Democrat
June 20, 2024
Solid Republican
March 28, 2024
Tilt Democrat
March 28, 2024
Likely Democrat
January 22, 2024
Solid Republican
January 3, 2024
Solid Republican
December 1, 2023
Lean Democrat
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
December 1, 2023
Lean Democrat
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
December 1, 2023
Solid Democrat
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
December 1, 2023
Solid Democrat
December 1, 2023
Tilt Democrat
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
December 1, 2023
Solid Republican
November 13, 2023
Solid Republican
September 12, 2023
Lean Democrat
September 12, 2023
Solid Republican
September 12, 2023
Solid Republican
September 12, 2023
Solid Republican
September 12, 2023
Lean Democrat
September 12, 2023
Solid Republican
September 12, 2023
Solid Democrat
September 12, 2023
Solid Republican
September 12, 2023
Solid Republican
September 12, 2023
Solid Republican
September 12, 2023
Solid Republican
September 12, 2023
Solid Democrat
September 12, 2023
Tilt Democrat
September 12, 2023
Solid Republican
September 12, 2023
Solid Republican
2022
October 7, 2022
Lean Democrat
September 23, 2022
Tilt Democrat
August 25, 2022
Toss-up
April 22, 2022
Solid Republican
April 22, 2022
Toss-up
April 22, 2022
Tilt Republican
January 10, 2022
Toss-up
January 10, 2022
Solid Republican
January 10, 2022
Solid Republican
January 10, 2022
Solid Republican
January 10, 2022
Lean Republican
January 10, 2022
Solid Republican
January 10, 2022
Solid Democrat
January 10, 2022
Solid Republican
January 10, 2022
Solid Republican
January 10, 2022
Solid Republican
January 10, 2022
Solid Republican
January 10, 2022
Solid Democrat
January 10, 2022
Tilt Republican
January 10, 2022
Solid Republican
January 10, 2022
Solid Republican
December 16, 2021
Toss-up
December 16, 2021
Solid Republican
December 16, 2021
Solid Republican
December 16, 2021
Solid Republican
December 16, 2021
Lean Republican
December 16, 2021
Solid Republican
December 16, 2021
Solid Democrat
December 16, 2021
Solid Republican
December 16, 2021
Solid Republican
December 16, 2021
Solid Republican
December 16, 2021
Solid Republican
December 16, 2021
Solid Democrat
December 16, 2021
Tilt Republican
December 16, 2021
Solid Republican
December 16, 2021
Solid Republican
April 23, 2021
Solid Republican
March 19, 2021
Solid Democrat
2020
October 28, 2020
Tilt Democrat
September 18, 2020
Solid Republican
September 18, 2020
Solid Republican
August 7, 2020
Likely Republican
August 7, 2020
Toss-up
May 22, 2020
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Likely Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Lean Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Likely Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Lean Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
2018
October 26, 2018
Tilt Republican
October 12, 2018
Toss-up
August 17, 2018
Tilt Republican
August 17, 2018
Lean Republican
May 16, 2018
Likely Republican
May 16, 2018
Likely Republican
May 4, 2018
Tilt Republican
January 19, 2018
Likely Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
2016
June 9, 2016
Solid Republican
January 25, 2016
Solid Republican
January 8, 2016
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
2014
September 12, 2014
Solid Republican
September 12, 2014
Solid Republican
March 28, 2014
Likely Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Lean Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
December 17, 2013
Lean Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
September 27, 2013
Solid Republican
September 27, 2013
Lean Republican
September 27, 2013
Lean Republican
August 5, 2013
Likely Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Likely Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Tilt Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
2012
October 19, 2012
Solid Republican
August 24, 2012
Likely Republican
August 10, 2012
Solid Republican
August 10, 2012
Solid Republican
May 4, 2012
Solid Democrat
January 13, 2012
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Democrat
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Lean Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Democrat
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Lean Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Democrat
December 2, 2011
Solid Democrat
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Democrat
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Lean Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Democrat
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Lean Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Democrat
October 7, 2011
Solid Democrat
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
2010
October 29, 2010
Toss-up
October 22, 2010
Tilt Democrat
October 15, 2010
Likely Republican
October 15, 2010
Likely Democrat
October 8, 2010
Lean Democrat
October 1, 2010
Solid Republican
October 1, 2010
Likely Republican
August 23, 2010
Solid Democrat
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
August 23, 2010
Lean Republican
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
August 23, 2010
Solid Democrat
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010

Baselines

About
2025+10.0D 44.4, R 54.4
2024
+10.0
2022
+11.0
2020
+11.5
2018
+9.5
2016
+12.3
2014
+8.3
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