Texas
15th District

McAllen in the Rio Grande Valley to the outer San Antonio metro area

District Map

District map

Final Rating

See All

Lean R

Baseline

What's This?

N/A

2022 Election

Incumbents

D
VACANT
Open

Candidates

DNominee
Michelle Vallejo
68,097 votes (44.8%)
VAR -5.5
RNominee
Monica De La Cruz
✓ 80,978 votes (53.3%)
VAR 7
R
Vangela Churchill
D
Roberto Adrian Haddad
D
Ivan Dr. Melendez
R
Sara Larue Canady
D
John Villarreal Rigney
R
Jose Aizar Cavazos
D
Ruben Ramirez
D
Eliza Dr. Alvarado
R
Mauro Everett Mr. Garza
R
Ryan P Krause

Campaign Finance Data

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Past Elections

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Podcasts

Episode 79: Congressional Women’s Softball Game + Midterms w/ Tamara Keith of NPR

September 9, 2026

Episode 78: FLORIDAY Primaries w/ Marianna Sotomayor of Puck News

August 26, 2026

Podcast Episode 77: Most Unusual 2026 Candidates and Other Midterm Superlatives

August 11, 2026

Podcast Episode 76: Midterms, Redistricting, Interns & The Odyssey w/ the full Inside Elections team

July 30, 2026

Podcast Episode 75: Who Will be the Next Congressman to Lose a Primary? w/ Daniela Altimari of Roll Call

July 17, 2026

Podcast Episode 74: Inside Capitol Hill and Midterm Elections w/ Manu Raju of CNN

June 30, 2026

Podcast Episode 73: Maryland (Primary) Matters w/ Pamela Wood of The Banner

June 18, 2026

Podcast Episode 72: New York! New York! Primaries w/ Jeff Coltin of City & State

May 28, 2026

Analysis

House Report Shorts (Sept. 3, 2026)

September 3, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin, Nathan L. Gonzales & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (Aug. 20, 2026)

August 20, 2026

by Nathan L. Gonzales, Jacob Rubashkin & Inshara Ali

House Report Shorts (July 23, 2026)

July 23, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin, Inshara Ali & Nathan L. Gonzales

2026 House Overview (June 11, 2026)

June 11, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

Cornyn Loss Headlines Texas Primary Runoff Results

May 26, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (May 21, 2026)

May 21, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin

Texas 34: New Flores, New District, Same Gonzalez

May 7, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin

Report Shorts (April 23, 2026)

April 23, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin

House Overview (March 12, 2026): North Carolina – Wisconsin

March 12, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin

Texas, North Carolina Kick off 2026 Primaries

March 4, 2026

by Jacob Rubashkin & Nathan L. Gonzales

Ratings

2022

August 25, 2022

Lean Republican

January 10, 2022

Tilt Republican

December 3, 2021

Tilt Republican

November 15, 2021

Tilt Republican

2020

September 18, 2020

Solid Democrat

December 6, 2019

Solid Democrat

February 15, 2019

Solid Democrat

2018

December 1, 2017

Solid Democrat

February 27, 2017

Solid Democrat

2016

March 25, 2016

Solid Democrat

December 4, 2015

Solid Democrat

April 3, 2015

Solid Democrat

2014

December 17, 2013

Solid Democrat

March 8, 2013

Solid Democrat

2012

January 13, 2012

Solid Democrat

December 2, 2011

Solid Democrat

2010

August 23, 2010