Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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Pennsylvania
House

State Map

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Final Rating

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Solid D

2020 Baseline

What's This?
D +3.6
D: 50.5%, R: 46.9%

2020 Election

Incumbent

Candidates

Campaign Finance Data

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Past Elections

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President

2016
47.5%
48.2%
D
Democrat
2,926,441 (47.5%)
R
✓Republican
2,970,733 (48.2%)
Other
268,304 (4.4%)
2012
52%
46.6%
D
✓Democrat
2,990,274 (52%)
R
Republican
2,680,434 (46.6%)
Other
82,962 (1.4%)
2008
54.5%
44.2%
D
✓Democrat
3,276,363 (54.5%)
R
Republican
2,655,885 (44.2%)
Other
81,024 (1.3%)

Senate

2018
55.7%
42.6%
D
✓Democrat
2,792,437 (55.7%)
R
Republican
2,134,848 (42.6%)
Other
82,115 (1.6%)
2016
47.3%
48.8%
D
Democrat
2,865,012 (47.3%)
R
✓Republican
2,951,702 (48.8%)
Other
235,142 (3.9%)
2012
53.7%
44.6%
D
✓Democrat
3,021,364 (53.7%)
R
Republican
2,509,132 (44.6%)
Other
96,926 (1.7%)
2010
49%
51%
D
Democrat
1,948,716 (49%)
R
✓Republican
2,028,945 (51%)

Governor

2018
57.8%
40.7%
D
✓Democrat
2,895,662 (57.8%)
R
Republican
2,039,899 (40.7%)
Other
77,021 (1.5%)
2014
54.9%
45.1%
D
✓Democrat
1,920,355 (54.9%)
R
Republican
1,575,511 (45.1%)
2010
45.5%
54.5%
D
Democrat
1,814,788 (45.5%)
R
✓Republican
2,172,763 (54.5%)

Attorney General

2016
D
✓Democrat
3,057,010 (51.4%)
R
Republican
2,891,325 (48.6%)
2012
D
✓Democrat
3,125,557 (56.1%)
R
Republican
2,313,506 (41.6%)
Other
128,140 (2.3%)
2008
D
Democrat
2,619,791 (45.7%)
R
✓Republican
3,002,927 (52.4%)
Other
111,407 (1.9%)

Auditor

2016
D
✓Democrat
2,958,818 (50%)
R
Republican
2,667,318 (45.1%)
Other
290,795 (4.9%)
2012
D
✓Democrat
2,729,565 (49.7%)
R
Republican
2,548,767 (46.4%)
Other
210,876 (3.8%)
2008
D
✓Democrat
3,336,219 (59%)
R
Republican
2,134,543 (37.7%)
Other
185,637 (3.3%)

Treasurer

2016
D
✓Democrat
2,991,404 (50.7%)
R
Republican
2,610,811 (44.2%)
Other
302,929 (5.1%)
2012
D
✓Democrat
2,872,344 (52.5%)
R
Republican
2,405,654 (44%)
Other
190,406 (3.5%)
2008
D
✓Democrat
3,104,242 (55%)
R
Republican
2,422,608 (42.9%)
Other
121,537 (2.2%)

U.S. House Composite

2012
D
✓Democrat
2,793,538 (50.3%)
R
Republican
2,710,070 (48.8%)
Other
52,722 (0.9%)

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Analysis

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House Report Shorts (October 18, 2024)

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Ratings

2020
October 28, 2020
Solid Democrat
October 16, 2020
Solid Democrat
October 16, 2020
Toss-up
October 1, 2020
Lean Republican
September 18, 2020
Solid Democrat
September 18, 2020
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Tilt Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Likely Democrat
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Tilt Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Likely Democrat
June 14, 2019
Solid Republican
April 5, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Tilt Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Likely Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Tilt Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Likely Democrat
2018
September 28, 2018
Toss-up
September 28, 2018
Lean Democrat
September 28, 2018
Lean Republican
August 17, 2018
Likely Republican
August 17, 2018
Likely Republican
August 17, 2018
Lean Democrat
July 6, 2018
Lean Democrat
May 16, 2018
Toss-up
May 4, 2018
Likely Democrat
May 4, 2018
Tilt Republican
March 25, 2018
Likely Democrat
March 23, 2018
Solid Republican
February 20, 2018
Tilt Republican
February 20, 2018
Solid Democrat
February 20, 2018
Solid Democrat
February 20, 2018
Solid Democrat
February 20, 2018
Likely Democrat
February 20, 2018
Tilt Democrat
February 20, 2018
Tilt Democrat
February 20, 2018
Likely Democrat
February 20, 2018
Solid Republican
February 20, 2018
Likely Republican
February 20, 2018
Solid Republican
February 20, 2018
Solid Republican
February 20, 2018
Solid Republican
February 20, 2018
Solid Republican
February 20, 2018
Solid Republican
February 20, 2018
Solid Republican
February 20, 2018
Tilt Republican
January 26, 2018
Tilt Democrat
January 22, 2018
Lean Republican
January 4, 2018
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Lean Republican
December 1, 2017
Likely Republican
December 1, 2017
Lean Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
December 1, 2017
Lean Republican
December 1, 2017
Lean Republican
December 1, 2017
Likely Democrat
September 8, 2017
Lean Republican
September 1, 2017
Lean Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Likely Republican
February 27, 2017
Likely Republican
February 27, 2017
Lean Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Lean Republican
February 27, 2017
Likely Democrat
2016
October 21, 2016
Toss-up
July 1, 2016
Solid Democrat
May 19, 2016
Solid Democrat
May 19, 2016
Solid Republican
January 8, 2016
Solid Republican
December 18, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Likely Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Tilt Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Likely Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Tilt Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
2014
October 17, 2014
Solid Republican
October 3, 2014
Likely Republican
July 18, 2014
Solid Democrat
January 6, 2014
Lean Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Likely Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
September 27, 2013
Solid Republican
June 14, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Likely Republican
March 8, 2013
Likely Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Likely Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
2012
October 19, 2012
Solid Republican
October 12, 2012
Likely Republican
August 10, 2012
Solid Democrat
June 29, 2012
Lean Republican
June 29, 2012
Toss-up
June 1, 2012
Solid Republican
April 20, 2012
Likely Republican
February 10, 2012
Lean Republican
January 13, 2012
Solid Democrat
January 13, 2012
Solid Democrat
January 13, 2012
Solid Republican
January 13, 2012
Solid Republican
January 13, 2012
Solid Republican
January 13, 2012
Likely Republican
January 13, 2012
Tilt Republican
January 13, 2012
Tilt Republican
January 13, 2012
Solid Republican
January 13, 2012
Solid Republican
January 13, 2012
Solid Republican
January 13, 2012
January 13, 2012
Solid Democrat
January 13, 2012
Solid Democrat
January 13, 2012
Solid Republican
January 13, 2012
Solid Republican
January 13, 2012
Solid Democrat
2010
October 29, 2010
Tilt Republican
October 29, 2010
Tilt Republican
October 22, 2010
Tilt Republican
October 22, 2010
Toss-up
October 22, 2010
Toss-up
October 22, 2010
Solid Democrat
October 15, 2010
Likely Republican
October 15, 2010
Toss-up
October 15, 2010
Lean Democrat
October 1, 2010
Solid Republican
October 1, 2010
Lean Democrat
October 1, 2010
Lean Republican
September 24, 2010
Lean Republican
September 7, 2010
Tilt Republican
September 7, 2010
Tilt Democrat
August 23, 2010
Solid Democrat
August 23, 2010
Solid Democrat
August 23, 2010
Toss-up
August 23, 2010
Likely Democrat
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
August 23, 2010
Likely Republican
August 23, 2010
Toss-up
August 23, 2010
Likely Democrat
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010

Baselines

About
2025+1.7D 49.7, R 48.0
2024
+1.7
2022
+4.1
2020
+3.6
2018
+6.5
2016
+4.0
2014
+6.0
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