Nonpartisan Analysis Since 1980
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Michigan
House

State Map

State map

Final Rating

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Toss-up

2020 Baseline

What's This?
D +1.9
D: 49.4%, R: 47.5%

2020 Election

Incumbent

Candidate

Campaign Finance Data

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Past Elections

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President

2016
47.3%
47.5%
D
Democrat
2,268,839 (47.3%)
R
✓Republican
2,279,543 (47.5%)
Other
250,902 (5.2%)
2012
54.2%
44.7%
D
✓Democrat
2,564,569 (54.2%)
R
Republican
2,115,256 (44.7%)
Other
51,136 (1.1%)
2008
57.4%
41%
D
✓Democrat
2,872,579 (57.4%)
R
Republican
2,048,639 (41%)
Other
80,548 (1.6%)

Senate

2018
52.3%
45.8%
D
✓Democrat
2,214,478 (52.3%)
R
Republican
1,938,818 (45.8%)
Other
83,975 (2%)
2014
54.6%
41.3%
D
✓Democrat
1,704,936 (54.6%)
R
Republican
1,290,199 (41.3%)
Other
126,640 (4.1%)
2012
58.8%
38%
D
✓Democrat
2,735,826 (58.8%)
R
Republican
1,767,386 (38%)
Other
149,706 (3.2%)
2008
62.7%
33.8%
D
✓Democrat
3,038,386 (62.7%)
R
Republican
1,641,070 (33.8%)
Other
169,164 (3.5%)

Governor

2018
53.3%
43.7%
D
✓Democrat
2,266,193 (53.3%)
R
Republican
1,859,534 (43.7%)
Other
124,858 (2.9%)
2014
46.9%
50.9%
D
Democrat
1,479,057 (46.9%)
R
✓Republican
1,607,399 (50.9%)
Other
70,075 (2.2%)
2010
39.9%
58.1%
D
Democrat
1,287,320 (39.9%)
R
✓Republican
1,874,834 (58.1%)
Other
63,934 (2%)

Attorney General

2018
D
✓Democrat
2,031,117 (49%)
R
Republican
1,916,117 (46.3%)
Other
194,810 (4.7%)
2014
D
Democrat
1,359,839 (44.2%)
R
✓Republican
1,603,471 (52.1%)
Other
113,854 (3.7%)
2010
D
Democrat
1,363,486 (43.5%)
R
✓Republican
1,649,223 (52.6%)
Other
123,515 (3.9%)

Secretary of State

2018
D
✓Democrat
2,213,243 (52.9%)
R
Republican
1,840,118 (44%)
Other
130,665 (3.1%)
2014
D
Democrat
1,323,004 (42.9%)
R
✓Republican
1,649,047 (53.5%)
Other
108,744 (3.5%)
2010
D
Democrat
1,434,796 (45.2%)
R
✓Republican
1,608,270 (50.7%)
Other
130,182 (4.1%)

U.S. House Composite

2016
D
Democrat
2,193,980 (47%)
R
✓Republican
2,243,402 (48%)
Other
233,523 (5%)
2014
D
✓Democrat
1,519,030 (49.2%)
R
Republican
1,466,749 (47.5%)
Other
103,698 (3.4%)
2012
D
✓Democrat
2,327,985 (50.9%)
R
Republican
2,086,804 (45.6%)
Other
159,843 (3.5%)
2010
D
Democrat
1,415,212 (44.3%)
R
✓Republican
1,671,707 (52.3%)
Other
107,982 (3.4%)

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Analysis

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Ratings

2020
October 1, 2020
Toss-up
August 7, 2020
Tilt Republican
August 7, 2020
Solid Democrat
August 7, 2020
Solid Democrat
July 24, 2020
Lean Republican
April 29, 2020
Lean Republican
February 21, 2020
Tilt Republican
February 21, 2020
Likely Democrat
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Lean Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Likely Republican
December 6, 2019
Solid Republican
December 6, 2019
Lean Democrat
December 6, 2019
Likely Democrat
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
December 6, 2019
Solid Democrat
November 26, 2019
Lean Democrat
November 26, 2019
Likely Democrat
July 26, 2019
Solid Republican
July 10, 2019
Lean Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Likely Republican
February 15, 2019
Solid Republican
February 15, 2019
Tilt Democrat
February 15, 2019
Lean Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
February 15, 2019
Solid Democrat
2018
November 1, 2018
Tilt Democrat
October 12, 2018
Tilt Democrat
September 28, 2018
Toss-up
August 17, 2018
Tilt Republican
August 8, 2018
Solid Democrat
May 16, 2018
Likely Republican
May 4, 2018
Toss-up
February 16, 2018
Tilt Republican
January 4, 2018
Solid Democrat
December 15, 2017
Solid Democrat
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
December 1, 2017
Likely Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Republican
December 1, 2017
Lean Republican
December 1, 2017
Lean Republican
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
December 1, 2017
Solid Democrat
September 15, 2017
Lean Republican
September 1, 2017
Likely Republican
September 1, 2017
Lean Republican
May 19, 2017
Likely Republican
May 19, 2017
Likely Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Republican
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
February 27, 2017
Solid Democrat
2016
November 3, 2016
Likely Republican
September 30, 2016
Tilt Republican
September 30, 2016
Lean Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Lean Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Tilt Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Republican
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
December 4, 2015
Solid Democrat
September 18, 2015
Lean Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Lean Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Tilt Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Republican
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
April 3, 2015
Solid Democrat
2014
October 29, 2014
Solid Republican
October 29, 2014
Solid Republican
October 10, 2014
Likely Republican
October 10, 2014
Solid Republican
August 15, 2014
Solid Democrat
August 15, 2014
Likely Republican
August 15, 2014
Likely Republican
April 11, 2014
Solid Republican
March 28, 2014
Lean Republican
February 28, 2014
Solid Democrat
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Tilt Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Likely Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Republican
December 17, 2013
Likely Republican
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
December 17, 2013
Solid Democrat
September 27, 2013
Likely Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Tilt Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Republican
March 8, 2013
Likely Republican
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
March 8, 2013
Solid Democrat
2012
November 2, 2012
Toss-up
October 5, 2012
Tilt Democrat
October 5, 2012
Lean Republican
August 24, 2012
Toss-up
July 13, 2012
Tilt Republican
June 29, 2012
Tilt Republican
June 29, 2012
Tilt Republican
June 1, 2012
Tilt Republican
May 4, 2012
Lean Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Democrat
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Likely Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Democrat
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Republican
December 2, 2011
Solid Democrat
December 2, 2011
Solid Democrat
October 7, 2011
Solid Democrat
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Likely Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Democrat
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Republican
October 7, 2011
Solid Democrat
October 7, 2011
Solid Democrat
2010
October 29, 2010
Lean Democrat
September 17, 2010
Likely Democrat
August 23, 2010
Solid Democrat
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010
Tilt Republican
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
August 23, 2010
Solid Democrat
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
August 23, 2010
Toss-up
August 23, 2010
Solid Republican
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010
August 23, 2010

Baselines

About
2025+4.5D 51.0, R 46.5
2024
+4.5
2022
+5.0
2020
+1.9
2018
+3.7
2016
+1.4
2014
+1.8
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