Presidential

Trump Is More Vulnerable Than You Think

February 23, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

Obama Learns What You Sow in the Senate, You Reap in the White House

February 22, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Don’t Call it a Push Poll: Bernie Sanders Campaign Edition

February 22, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Money Can’t Buy Love in GOP Presidential Primary

February 19, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Who Will Win South Carolina Saturday? Just Look at the Voters

February 19, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

Michael Bloomberg’s Road Map to the White House

February 17, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

Trying to Make Sense of the Post-New Hampshire Republican Race

February 10, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Voters Don’t Fit Neatly Into Presidential Primary Lanes

February 9, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Can Rubio Follow Romney’s Path to the Nomination?

February 9, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

What Happened to Jeb Bush?

February 9, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

Why Was Fiorina Denied Ad Time During the Debate?

February 8, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Why Haven’t We Updated Our Presidential Ratings?

February 5, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Revenge of the Old Fogies

February 4, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

Handicapping the GOP Race Past Iowa

February 1, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

It’s Official: Put a Fork in Kasich’s Candidacy

January 31, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

Hillary and Jeb: Destined to Play the Long Game?

January 28, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

Goldwater vs. McGovern in 2016?

January 20, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

Can Rubio Win Even If He Loses?

January 13, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

Obama’s Empty Campaign Threat on Gun Control

January 12, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Presidential Battleground Spotlight: North Carolina

January 8, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Predicting the Future and Other Delusions

January 8, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

Ted Cruz Might Not Need Trump Supporters

January 7, 2016

by Nathan Gonzales

Will ‘Electability’ Sink Trump?

January 5, 2016

by Stuart Rothenberg

Presidential Battleground Spotlight: New Hampshire

December 18, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

And the GOP Nominee Will Be…

December 18, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Stu in Review: Dumb Stuff I Wrote This Year

December 17, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

GOP’s Brand In More Trouble Than Its Candidates

December 15, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Republicans Need More Than More Hispanic Voters to Win White House

December 14, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

An Independent Candidacy Would Make Trump the Biggest Loser

December 11, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Rothenberg’s End of the Year Awards

December 9, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

4 Court Cases That Could Impact the 2016 Elections

December 6, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Wisconsin

December 4, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Obama Still Channeling George W. Bush

December 3, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Speaking Style Says Volumes About GOP Race

November 25, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Imperfect Candidates Get Elected

November 24, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Virginia

November 20, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Paris Attacks Will Keep Obama and Democrats Playing Defense

November 20, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Don’t Get Too Caught Up in the Trump and Carson ‘Panic’

November 18, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Hillary Clinton and the Two-Term Jinx

November 12, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Why Trump Would Get Out of the Race

November 8, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Cory Gardner for Veep? Don’t Laugh

November 6, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Fiorina Has No Clear Lane to GOP Nomination

November 4, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Cruz and Jindal Wait Impatiently for Their Chances

October 29, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Why the Next Month Is Critical for Bush

October 28, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

What the Heck Happened to Rand Paul?

October 21, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Colorado

October 16, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Why Republicans Need to Nominate Ted Cruz

October 15, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Why I Keep Forgetting About John Kasich

October 9, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Early Iowa Presidential Polls a Better Predictor Than National Ones

October 8, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Draft Biden Organizer Dismissed Over Past Legal Problems

October 7, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Ohio

October 1, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (October 1, 2015)

October 1, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Does Voter Anger Explain the Success of Presidential Outsiders?

September 29, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Presidential Battleground Spotlight: Florida

September 18, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Report Shorts (September 18, 2015)

September 18, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Post-CNN Debate Thoughts

September 18, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

And the News Gets Worse for Clinton

September 17, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

A Significant Reassessment of the GOP Race

September 10, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Missing the Boat on the Big Political News

August 26, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Donald Trump and the Fight for the Senate

August 21, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Stop the Presses: O’Malley Nabs Swalwell Endorsement

August 14, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

One Last Hurrah for Joe Biden?

August 6, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Chris Christie’s Conundrum

July 29, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

The Politics of Identity Politics

July 24, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Who Will Benefit From the Issues Mix in 2016?

July 17, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Bernie Sanders: The Latest Version of Howard Dean

July 10, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

The Donald Trump Impact: Not so Inevitable After All

July 8, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

When the Second Time Isn’t the Charm

July 2, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Does Scott Walker Have What It Takes to Win in 2016?

June 26, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

The Iowa Straw Poll: Put a Stake Through Its Heart

June 22, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Can Marco Rubio Save the GOP in 2016?

June 16, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Party’s History of Establishment Picks Could Be Over

June 8, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

How to Fix an Unfair Presidential Debate System

May 28, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Path to GOP Nomination Starts by Dealing with Loss in Iowa

May 15, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Why It’s a Mistake to Dismiss Bobby Jindal

May 15, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Is John Kasich in the Top Tier in 2016?

May 4, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Hillary Rodham Romney? Keep an Eye on O’Malley

April 30, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

‘Big Money’ and the 2016 Elections

April 24, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Cruz’s Struggle: This Man Loves to Argue

April 22, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Context for Facebook Chatter About Presidential Candidates

April 21, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

The What Ifs of the 2016 GOP Presidential Race

April 20, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

The Young and the Restless of 2016

April 16, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Jeb Bush Can’t Be Nominated. Or Can He?

April 2, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

It’s Early: Why Pundits Shouldn’t Overreact

March 26, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

The Fearsome Foursome: Bush, Paul, Walker, Rubio

March 18, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

What the ‘Big Ten’ Tells Republicans They Need in 2016

March 11, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Familiar Faces in Presidential Battleground States

March 6, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Rand Paul, Hillary Clinton Face Foreign Policy Challenges in 2016

March 2, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Remembrance of Shutdowns Past

February 27, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Is Ben Carson Really a Viable Presidential Candidate?

February 11, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Democrats Might Need to Lose the White House to Win the House Majority

February 9, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Noah’s Ark and the Republican Race for President

February 6, 2015

by Nathan Gonzales

Not Your Father’s (or Grandfather’s) GOP Field

February 4, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Why Hillary Clinton Should Fear Elizabeth Warren

January 22, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Can Jeb Bush Win the GOP Nomination?

January 7, 2015

by Stuart Rothenberg

Draft Ben Carson Group Complicates Potential Presidential Campaign

December 5, 2014

by Nathan Gonzales

The Stunningly Static White Evangelical Vote

November 18, 2014

by Nathan Gonzales

No Guarantee Democrats Rebound in 2016

November 14, 2014

by Nathan Gonzales

Obama’s Midterm Loss Record Could Make History

November 1, 2014

by Stuart Rothenberg

Republicans Use Birth Control as Campaign Wedge

September 9, 2014

by Stuart Rothenberg

Why Is the Media Ignoring Hillary Clinton?

July 2, 2014

by Stuart Rothenberg

Obama’s New Nuance on His Student Loans

June 13, 2014

by Nathan Gonzales

2016 Presidential: Why Hillary Clinton is More Inevitable Than Last Time

May 28, 2014

by Nathan Gonzales

Why This Year’s Primaries Won’t End GOP Civil War

May 9, 2014

by Nathan Gonzales

Obama’s Foreign Policy Impacts 2014 Elections — Really

April 24, 2014

by Stuart Rothenberg

Income Inequality: Democrats Have Some Work to Do

January 31, 2014

by Stuart Rothenberg

What the Latest Iowa Poll Reveals About 2016 (Hint: Not Much)

December 23, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

One Reason Donald Trump Should Be President

December 17, 2013

by Nathan Gonzales

OMG!!! A GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN. Or Maybe Not

September 29, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

How Bad Is the GOP Rift? Worse Than Democrats in the 1980s

September 25, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

Barack Obama’s Sad Sausage-Making Foreign Policy

September 12, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

The Biggest Mistake of Obama’s Presidency?

September 10, 2013

by Nathan Gonzales

Obama’s Muddled Syria Politics

September 4, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

10 Things Losing Candidates Say

August 28, 2013

by Nathan Gonzales

Democrats Rally Against Bill Clinton’s Record

July 5, 2013

by Nathan Gonzales

It’s Uphill All the Way for Social Conservatives

July 3, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

The War on Women vs. The War on Children

June 21, 2013

by Nathan Gonzales

The Barn Jacket as a Secret Campaign Weapon

June 13, 2013

by Nathan Gonzales

When the Nation Has the Blahs …

June 12, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

Anchorage Mayor Not Running in Alaska Senate Race

May 23, 2013

by Nathan Gonzales

The He Said, She Said of Gun Control: Get Over It

April 24, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

Five Takeaways From the New NBC/WSJ Poll

April 14, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

New Jobs Numbers Raise Economic — and Political — Questions

April 6, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

The Fat Lady Sings on Gun Control, 2013 Edition

March 28, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

The GOP: A Party Increasingly at Odds With Itself

March 22, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

Looking to 2016: Is It Still Either Bush or Rubio?

March 12, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

Bloomberg’s Much Ado About Nothing Much

March 1, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

Democrats’ Economic Narrative Still Trumps GOP’s

February 22, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

Rubio and Jindal Are Allies Now, Adversaries Maybe Later

February 15, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

Youth Vote Could Seal GOP’s Minority Status

February 8, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

The 2016 Presidential Race Begins Today

January 23, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

Obama Wins First Round, With More Bouts to Come in 2013

January 4, 2013

by Stuart Rothenberg

The New Year Can’t Come Soon Enough for the GOP

December 22, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Looking Back on 2012 Cycle’s Long and Winding Road

December 19, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

For the Fiscal Cliff Talks, It’s Back to the Future Again

December 5, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Mixed Message: Divided Nation Is Still Divided

November 9, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Jumping to Conclusions on the 2012 Elections

November 6, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Settle In: Election Night Viewers’ Guide

November 6, 2012

by Nathan Gonzales

Presidential Race is Too Close to Call

November 2, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Coming Down to the End of the Line in 2012

November 2, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

The Race for the White House Enters Final Stretch

October 26, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Reverting to the Norm: The Race Narrows

October 26, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

The Race that Never Stops Surprising

October 12, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Why’d Mitt Romney Take So Long to Move to the Middle?

October 12, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Race for the White House: Can Romney Mount a Comeback?

October 5, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Friday’s Numbers: Does Anybody Still Care?

October 5, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Don’t Neglect the Twitter Effect on Debates

October 1, 2012

by Nathan Gonzales

Race for the White House Shifts Toward the President

September 28, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Presidential Ratings Change: Advantage Obama

September 21, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

In Politics, Expect the Unexpected

September 21, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Death of the Presidential Race Has Been Exaggerated

September 14, 2012

by Nathan Gonzales

Both Parties Roll the Dice on Medicare Issue

September 12, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Convention: Same Goal, Altered Path for Democrats

September 6, 2012

by Nathan Gonzales

Convention: The Iowa Straw Poll and the National Political Conventions

September 5, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

What a 2004 Poll Tells Us About 2012

August 30, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Convention: In Politics, Timing Can Be Everything

August 27, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Handicapping the Presidential Race: Watch the Samples and Weighting

August 14, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Voter Overload and the Presidential Endgame

July 27, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

How Can Anyone Govern After This Campaign?

July 18, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Conventions: From Meaningful to Meaningless

July 16, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Campaigns to Compete for Ads During Olympic Games

July 12, 2012

by Nathan Gonzales

Big Legal Win for President, Big Political Win for Republicans

June 28, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Barack Obama the Underdog Against ‘Change’ Slogan

June 21, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Are We Headed for Another Electoral Mess?

June 1, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Is Pennsylvania In Play for November? Maybe.

May 16, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Sticks and Stones May Break My Bones …

May 11, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

On Second Thought, Maybe N.C. Was a Mistake

May 1, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Truth About Mitt Romney’s Running Mate Choice

April 27, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

One Way to Look at the Presidential Polls

April 25, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Can Mitt Romney Return to ‘Referendum’ Message?

April 18, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Taking A Different Look At The Gender Gap

April 10, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Mitt Romney’s Weakness Is Also Strength — or Is It?

April 3, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

In GOP Presidential Race, Fat Lady Finally Sings

March 30, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

What Could Be Next in the Race for President?

March 23, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Who Else for Vice President but Marco Rubio?

March 21, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Wins, Delegates and the Long GOP Fight Ahead

March 16, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

For Mitt Romney, a Good Night but Not a Knockout

March 9, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Republican Roller Coaster Ride Continues

March 2, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

McKenna (R) Takes Issue with Santorum’s ‘Snob’ Remark

February 28, 2012

by Nathan Gonzales

Presidential Race Map: Obama vs. Santorum

February 24, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

When Do Political Rules No Longer Apply?

February 22, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Just How Much Does Gingrich Hate Romney?

February 15, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

The Hoopla Surrounding Romney’s Electability

February 10, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Newt’s Southern Strategy: Not Impossible, Just Very Unlikely

February 9, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Don’t Bet on Gingrich Showing Up in Tampa

February 4, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Heading to Florida after a Big Win for Newt

January 27, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

What Are the Chances of a Republican White Knight?

January 27, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Will GOP Risk Goldwater II With Newt Gingrich in 2012?

January 25, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Mitt McCain — The GOP’s Strange Replay of 2008

January 18, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

South Carolina Puts Perfect Record on the Line

January 13, 2012

by Jessica Taylor

Can Mitt Romney Meet New Hampshire Expectations?

January 10, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

For Mitt Romney, It’s Still Divide and Conquer

January 3, 2012

by Stuart Rothenberg

Time for Rothenberg Annual Year-End Awards

December 21, 2011

by Stuart Rothenberg

Newt’s Surge: How High, How Long?

December 16, 2011

by Stuart Rothenberg

Can Mitt Romney Conquer Newt Gingrich, His Own Ceiling?

December 16, 2011

by Stuart Rothenberg

Another Year of Prognostication Ups and Downs

December 14, 2011

by Stuart Rothenberg

Do Democrats Face More Trouble From Occupy Wall Street?

December 9, 2011

by Stuart Rothenberg

Fight for Senate Hinges on Six White House Battlegrounds

December 7, 2011

by Stuart Rothenberg

For Republicans, It’s a Matter of Head or Heart

November 30, 2011

by Stuart Rothenberg

A Strange Way to Pick Presidential Candidates

November 18, 2011

by Stuart Rothenberg

Category Archive: Presidential