Category Archive: Media Outlets

A Party Divided Is a Party Defeated—Usually

Millennials Raising Money to Run, But Can They Win?

Outsider Candidate Claims Boehner Seat in Ohio Special

Trump’s Electoral Math Doesn’t Add Up

Democratic Senate Takeover Probable, If Cruz or Trump Nominee

6 Districts Where the Fight for the House and President Converge

The Case for a Crowded Field to Defeat Trump

Cruz and Kasich Implausible Scenarios Keeping Trump on Top

Trump Is More Vulnerable Than You Think

Obama Learns What You Sow in the Senate, You Reap in the White House

Don’t Call it a Push Poll: Bernie Sanders Campaign Edition

Who Will Win South Carolina Saturday? Just Look at the Voters

Michael Bloomberg’s Road Map to the White House

Trying to Make Sense of the Post-New Hampshire Republican Race

Voters Don’t Fit Neatly Into Presidential Primary Lanes

Can Rubio Follow Romney’s Path to the Nomination?

What Happened to Jeb Bush?

Why Was Fiorina Denied Ad Time During the Debate?

Revenge of the Old Fogies

Handicapping the GOP Race Past Iowa

It’s Official: Put a Fork in Kasich’s Candidacy

Hillary and Jeb: Destined to Play the Long Game?

NRSC Names Huey IE Director

Goldwater vs. McGovern in 2016?

Beshear Looks Back, Forward on Kentucky’s Political Landscape

NRCC Names Furst Johnson IE Director

Can Rubio Win Even If He Loses?

Obama’s Empty Campaign Threat on Gun Control

Predicting the Future and Other Delusions

Ted Cruz Might Not Need Trump Supporters

Will ‘Electability’ Sink Trump?

Indiana Senate: Is Stutzman Still the Club for Growth’s Guy?

Virginia 5: Hurt to Retire, Leaves Potentially Competitive Seat

New York 22: Hanna Retirement Puts Seat At Risk for Republicans

Why House Races Still Matter (Even in Safe Districts)

And the GOP Nominee Will Be…

Stu in Review: Dumb Stuff I Wrote This Year

GOP’s Brand In More Trouble Than Its Candidates

Republicans Need More Than More Hispanic Voters to Win White House

An Independent Candidacy Would Make Trump the Biggest Loser

What Does It Take To Crack the Inner Circle of Political Consultants?

Rothenberg’s End of the Year Awards

4 Court Cases That Could Impact the 2016 Elections

Who Is the Second Most Vulnerable Senate Incumbent in 2016?

Obama Still Channeling George W. Bush

Time to Stop Reporting on Committee Fundraising Numbers

Speaking Style Says Volumes About GOP Race

Imperfect Candidates Get Elected

Paris Attacks Will Keep Obama and Democrats Playing Defense

Don’t Get Too Caught Up in the Trump and Carson ‘Panic’

House Retirement Rush Still Short of Average

Outsider Bevin Hires Insider Chief of Staff

EMILY’s List Support Isn’t Early Enough for Senate Hopeful

Hillary Clinton and the Two-Term Jinx

Is Vitter on the Verge of Losing Everything?

Why Trump Would Get Out of the Race

Cory Gardner for Veep? Don’t Laugh

What Does Bevin’s Victory in Kentucky Mean for Vitter’s Chances?

Fiorina Has No Clear Lane to GOP Nomination

Don’t Blame Gerrymandering for GOP Civil War

Cruz and Jindal Wait Impatiently for Their Chances

Why the Next Month Is Critical for Bush

Vitter’s Primary Performance Prompts Rating Change in Louisiana

Pelosi Sees a Wave; Strategists Say it’s Just a Ripple Now

What the Heck Happened to Rand Paul?

John Boehner Shouldn’t Pack His Bags Just Yet

Ryan Is Damned if He Does, and Damned if He Doesn’t

Why Republicans Need to Nominate Ted Cruz

Why I Keep Forgetting About John Kasich

Early Iowa Presidential Polls a Better Predictor Than National Ones

Draft Biden Organizer Dismissed Over Past Legal Problems

State Senator Prepares GOP Primary Challenge to Shimkus

Does Voter Anger Explain the Success of Presidential Outsiders?

Young, Ambitious and Wealthy Isn’t Enough in Arkansas

Indiana Reps Still Wrestling With Residency

Post-CNN Debate Thoughts

And the News Gets Worse for Clinton

No Rating Change After Benishek’s Retirement in Michigan

More House Retirements Likely to Come

A Significant Reassessment of the GOP Race

Reichert Seriously Considering Washington Governor’s Race

Louisiana Governor: Does David Vitter Have Something to Worry About?

Parties Play Politics With FEC Complaints

Campaign Committees Open Holes While Filling Others

Missing the Boat on the Big Political News

Crist, Culver Contemplate Humbling Transition to the House

Group Suggests ‘Schock Waves’ in Illinois Special Election

A Modest Proposal: Timeshare Congressional Districts

Stop the Presses: O’Malley Nabs Swalwell Endorsement

Democrats, Party Switchers and the Ghost of Ed Jany

One Last Hurrah for Joe Biden?

A Brief Electoral History of Recently Indicted Congressmen

More Democratic Losses Could Be on the Horizon

Chris Christie’s Conundrum

The Politics of Identity Politics

Less Hair Could Mean More Votes in Minnesota

Who Will Benefit From the Issues Mix in 2016?

Bernie Sanders: The Latest Version of Howard Dean

The Donald Trump Impact: Not so Inevitable After All

When the Second Time Isn’t the Charm

Does Scott Walker Have What It Takes to Win in 2016?

Yarmuth Retirement Rumor Offers Window Into Future

The Iowa Straw Poll: Put a Stake Through Its Heart

Roll Call at the Big 6-0

Can Marco Rubio Save the GOP in 2016?

Race Plays Out on Congressional Baseball Game Field

Party’s History of Establishment Picks Could Be Over

14 Open House Seats, Few Takeover Opportunities

Illinois Senate: The Most Vulnerable Senator in the Country

How to Fix an Unfair Presidential Debate System

Can Republicans Repeat an Upset in Colorado?

Why It’s a Mistake to Dismiss Bobby Jindal

Caveat Emptor, in Political Giving Too

Parties Divide and Conquer Independent Spending

Senate Races, Pro Salaries and Perspective on Spending

How Much Trouble Is Richard Burr in?

Is John Kasich in the Top Tier in 2016?

Hillary Rodham Romney? Keep an Eye on O’Malley

DSCC Preferred Chairman’s Opponent in 2006 Primary

‘Big Money’ and the 2016 Elections

Cruz’s Struggle: This Man Loves to Argue

Context for Facebook Chatter About Presidential Candidates

The What Ifs of the 2016 GOP Presidential Race

The Young and the Restless of 2016

Wyden Looks Safe, but Democratic Rift Is Real

Adding Context to GOP Gains at State Level

How Reid Reacted When a Republican Senator Was Indicted

Jeb Bush Can’t Be Nominated. Or Can He?

It’s Early: Why Pundits Shouldn’t Overreact

Lopach Leads March Toward Democratic Senate Majority

Schilling Considering Special Election for Schock Seat

Indiana Senate Race Moves Out of Safe

The Fearsome Foursome: Bush, Paul, Walker, Rubio

Mark Kirk Starts 2016 as an Underdog

What the ‘Big Ten’ Tells Republicans They Need in 2016

Young Republican Explores Primary vs. Scott DesJarlais

Pat Toomey Is a Strong Candidate. Will That Be Enough in 2016?

Feingold, Sestak Face History, Former Foes in Senate Rematches

Rand Paul, Hillary Clinton Face Foreign Policy Challenges in 2016

Remembrance of Shutdowns Past

Senate Challenger Battles Secretary of State Curse

Past and Precedent: What Makes This Mississippi Special Election Interesting

Why Special Elections Really Matter

Is Ben Carson Really a Viable Presidential Candidate?

When Activists Run for Office

Not Your Father’s (or Grandfather’s) GOP Field

Why Even Democrats Love Talking About Joni Ernst

First Look: Can Democrats Win the Senate in 2016?

Democrats Looking Beyond New York 11 Special Election

Why Hillary Clinton Should Fear Elizabeth Warren

When a House Member Should Retire

Why Democrats Can’t Count on Voters Blaming a ‘Republican Congress’

Can Democrats Win the House in 2016?

Will Improving Economy Help Obama’s Case on Keystone?

Can Jeb Bush Win the GOP Nomination?

What Kind of Race Would Russ Feingold Run in 2016?

Jury Duty in Today’s America

Democrats Abandoned Mary Landrieu in the Runoff. Does it Matter?

Mary Landrieu’s Loss and the End of Ticket Splitting

Draft Ben Carson Group Complicates Potential Presidential Campaign

Rothenberg’s End of the Year Awards for 2014

How to Handle a Broken Campaign Promise

What Did — and Didn’t — Surprise Me This Cycle

Some Lessons for Democratic Strategists and Other Observers

The Stunningly Static White Evangelical Vote

Unsuccessful House Candidate Already ‘In’ for 2016

No Guarantee Democrats Rebound in 2016

Mary Landrieu’s Tall Task in the Louisiana Runoff

Review: 6 Races Both Parties Viewed Completely Differently

2014: Plenty of Surprises, but None Totally Unexpected

Senate Ratings vs. Senate Expecations (Stu’s Sept. 8 Outlook)

GOP Candidates More Popular Than Democrats in Top Senate Races

Republicans (Still) Poised to Pick Up 6 to 8 Senate Seats

Jesse Ferguson Lives to Fight Another Day

Obama’s Midterm Loss Record Could Make History

What Counts As a GOP Wave in 2014?

Will Obama Leave the Democratic Party Better Than He Found It?

A Good Year May Not Save These Three Vulnerable House Republicans Either

Weak GOP Candidates May Need More Than a Good Year

South Dakota Senate Race Returning to Form

Not His Father’s Arkansas

Why Republicans Must Win the Senate in 2014

Ratings Change: Arkansas Senate from Toss-up/Tilt Republican to Lean Republican

6 Races Both Parties View Completely Differently

What If I’m Wrong About GOP Flipping at Least 7 Seats?

Three Election Trends That Could End in 2014

Family Ties May Not Be Enough to Save Vulnerable Senators

Shift in Landscape Makes Bigger GOP House Gains Possible

Senate Chairmen Try to Avoid Historic Home-State Losses

Fight for Senate Control Down to Five States

The Amazingly Static House Playing Field

The Republican Brand’s Recovery Tour — Sort Of

Will Women Lose Ground in the House GOP After 2014?

Senate Ratings vs. Senate Expecations

Republicans Use Birth Control as Campaign Wedge

House Candidate May Have Faulty Disclaimer in Campaign Ad

And the Winner of the GOP’s Civil War Primary Is…Part II

Not Your Typical Southern Democrat in South Carolina

Self-Fulfilling Prophecy Might Be Why Americans Hate Congress

Democratic Retirements Put the Senate in Play