Category Archive: Contributors

2012 Gubernatorial Overview (March 23, 2012)

What Could Be Next in the Race for President?

Who Else for Vice President but Marco Rubio?

Redistricting’s Bottom Line

Wins, Delegates and the Long GOP Fight Ahead

No Surprises in Alabama and Mississippi Primaries

Democrats Face Ideological House Primaries

Utah Primaries: Power to the Precincts

North Carolina: Democrats Feeling Tar Heel Blue

For Mitt Romney, a Good Night but Not a Knockout

Ohio Primaries: Two Incumbents Fall, But Beware of the Anti-Incumbent Hype

Nebraska and Hawaii: Studying Senate Handicapping

Republican Roller Coaster Ride Continues

Latino Prospects in Senate Dwindle

New Texas Map: Democrats Hoped for More Than Split Decision

Claire McCaskill’s Mountain: A Tough Climb to Victory

Senate Control Hangs in the Balance

Presidential Race Map: Obama vs. Santorum

When Do Political Rules No Longer Apply?

Minnesota Map Nice for Status Quo

Nevada, Massachusetts Key to Senate Control

Just How Much Does Gingrich Hate Romney?

Maryland 6: Let Bartlett Be Bartlett

Indiana Senate: Lugar’s Legacy

Arizona 8: Special Occasion

Pair of Pennsylvania Primaries (12th & 18th)

Indiana 5 Primary: Winner Take All

The Hoopla Surrounding Romney’s Electability

Newt’s Southern Strategy: Not Impossible, Just Very Unlikely

In Florida: Anger, Confusion, Musical Chairs

Don’t Bet on Gingrich Showing Up in Tampa

Tar Heel Blues Continue For Democrats

Oregon Escapes Notice in Voter Photo ID Battle

Florida Map Coming Into Focus

In Presidential Polling, Context Always Matters

Special Election Results Ahead: Please Proceed With Caution

Indiana Rep. Burton Goes Out on His Own Terms

Wisconsin Senate: Overshadowed by the Recall

The Civil Wars

Ohio House Primaries: Can’t We All Just Get Along?

Illinois House Primaries: Don’t Take This Personally

Alabama House Primaries: Please Forgive Me

Mississippi House Primaries: No Pardon for Nunnelee

Heading to Florida after a Big Win for Newt

What Are the Chances of a Republican White Knight?

Will GOP Risk Goldwater II With Newt Gingrich in 2012?

Toxic Congress: Dose of Electoral Uncertainty

Giffords Resignation Sets Up Likely Competitive Special Election

Virginia Redistricting: Making the “Ins” Further “In”

A Rough Estimate of the Current House Field

Mitt McCain — The GOP’s Strange Replay of 2008

2012 House Overview (January 13, 2012)

South Carolina Puts Perfect Record on the Line

Cong. Fortenberry Declines Senate Run in Nebraska

Cong. Fortenberry Poised to Enter Nebraska Senate Race

Time Running Out for GOP to Play in Oregon Special

Cornilles Goes on Offense in Oregon 1 Special

Time for Rothenberg Annual Year-End Awards

Under the Radar, Republicans Seek Gov Gains Across the Country

Newt’s Surge: How High, How Long?

Illinois 12: A Tall Order

Can Mitt Romney Conquer Newt Gingrich, His Own Ceiling?

Another Year of Prognostication Ups and Downs

Democratic Consultant a Winner in Predicting Heisman Trophy

Do Democrats Face More Trouble From Occupy Wall Street?

Fight for Senate Hinges on Six White House Battlegrounds

New Texas Map Yet Another Win for Democrats

Colorado Map: Two Democratic Targets Might Net One Seat

North Dakota Senate: Race in the Mirror Not as Close as It Appears

Why Isn’t North Dakota’s Senate Race a Tossup?

For Republicans, It’s a Matter of Head or Heart

2012 Senate Overview (November 18, 2011)

Federal Court to Draw Texas Map

Olver Retirement Makes Massachusetts Map Easier

New Colorado Map Puts Coffman in Peril

Cornilles, Bonamici Move to January Special General Election in Oregon’s 1st

Bryant Elected Governor of Mississippi

A Strange Way to Pick Presidential Candidates

Next in Line (Apparently) for GOP: Newt Gingrich

House Overview: What’s In Play?

Is This the Ugliest Redistricting Cycle Ever?

For Bob McDonnell, VP Talk Won’t Go Away

Hawaii Senate: Same Faces, Different Races

California 52: It’s Always Sunny in Bilbray’s District

Do the PPP Polls Mean Anything?

Maryland House: New Map Endangers Bartlett

Nevada House: Democrats Could Win Three of Four Seats

Utah House: Matheson’s Tough Decision

Louisiana Governor: Jindal Wins Re-Election

Would Cain Be Leading the Race if He Were White?

So You Want to Be a Political Handicapper, Part II

Think You Can Be a Political Handicapper?

Stu’s Dangerous Dozen: Unsafe House Incumbents

Michigan Senate: Still Cooking

Obama’s Electoral College Outlook Depends on His Opponent

Wisconsin 7: Duffy’s Defense

Illinois 11: DisMemberment Plan

Hawaii Senate: Lingle Makes Race More Competitive

For Some GOPers, It’s Still Anyone but Mitt Romney

Why Is There So Much Mud in South Carolina?

This Is Not Your Father’s Democratic Party

2012 House Overview (October 7, 2011)

Electoral Vote Advantage Goes to Mitt Romney

West Virginia Election More Molehill Than Mountain

Another Boomlet for an Unknown Republican

Barack Obama, Predictions and the Red Sox

Connecticut 5: Can Anyone Deny Donovan a Seat in Congress?

Oregon 1 Special: Ducks & Beavers & a Tiger, Oh My!

West Virginia 1: Second Verse, Same as the First?

Texas Senate: Bigfoot Dewhurst

West Virginia Governor: Down to the Wire

New Hampshire Governor: Lynch Bows Out

Jerry Springer Reflects on His Former Boss’s Victory

Should Obama Run Against Congress?

Will GOP Choose John Kerry or Howard Dean?

Democrats Jump the Shark in New York Special

Republicans Solidify Ohio with New Map

Can Small RNC Rule Change Affect GOP Race?

Political Unity Peaked After Attacks

Massachusetts Senate: Not So Fast

Missouri 2: The Lines They Are A-Changin’

New York 9: Special Madness

Two Former Democratic Aides Raise a Ruckus

Is Spending Creating a Consensus on Defense?

California Redistricting Shakes Landscape

GOP’s Early Buys in Nevada Special Paying Off

Party Crashers All the Rage, Aren’t All the Same

Wisconsin Senate: Thompson’s Return May Be Coming Too Late

Nevada 2: To the Victor, Temporary Spoils

2011-12 Gubernatorial Outlook (August 12, 2011)

The Nothingness of the Iowa Straw Poll

Blue Dogs and Elephants? Dad Can’t Escape Politics

Debt Ceiling Fight Is So Yesterday’s News

GOP Hoping to Hang On in Wisconsin Recalls

Will Debt Dance Be a Disaster for Incumbents?

2012 Senate Overview (August 1, 2011)

In Debt Debacle, Someone Will Have to Blink

These Are the Dog Days for Rating Senate Races

Is the House Now in Play for the 2012 Elections?

Missouri Senate: Math Problem

New Hampshire 2: Gone Fishing, Again

Debt Ceiling Stalemate Not About Numbers

Redistricting Success Often a Moving Target

GOP Primary Features Two Two-Person Races

Ask a Bad Question, You’ll Get a Bad Answer

Are Obama’s Polls Worse Than Meet the Eye?

PPP (D) Polls Flood Early Senate Landscape

Illinois Districts: New Normal

Republicans Try to Even the Score with New North Carolina Lines

Obama Visits Media Market He Shunned in 2008

The Politics of the Debt Ceiling Are Too Tempting

No Rival and Plenty of Cash? Don’t Rest Easy

Who Lost the New Hampshire GOP Debate? Me

Rick Perry: Republican Savior or GOP Disaster?

2012 House Overview (June 20, 2011)

Will Governors Hurt GOP’s White House Prospects?

Is History on House Members’ Side in 2012?

30 Years Later, Nolan Considers Comeback Bid

Rhode Island 1: Do You Believe in Providence?

Connecticut Senate: Wrestling for the Nomination

Why You Need to Ignore Most Current Polling

Only Hypocrisy Is Truly Bipartisan

GOP Might Want to Rethink the Ryan Boomlet

Shrinking Republican Field Benefits Pawlenty

Nevada Senate: Hell(er) of a Race

Indiana Districts: Who’s Your Member?

Republicans Face No-Win Situation in New York 26

Huntsman: More or Less Than Meets the Eye?

Businessman Tim Sullivan Mulling Wisconsin Senate Bid

For Some in Senate, Losing Once Is Way to Win

Debt Limit Vote: You Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet

Don’t Start Planning Obama Inauguration Yet

New Mexico Senate: Open for Business

Arkansas Districts: Delayed Gratification

Does Daniels Really Fit GOP’s Bill? Maybe So

Berg Senate Run Likely in North Dakota

The Shape of Redistricting, Part I: Iowa, Louisiana, Arkansas

Ohio Senate: What Has Brown Done for You?

Iowa Districts: Out with the Old, In with the New

Obama, GOP Not Serious About Deficit Deal

Iowa 4: Christie Vilsack Likely to Challenge King

The Uneven Senate Landscape of 2012 (and 2014)

The New Norm: Last-Minute Political Deals

NRCC Veteran Walsh to Lead GOP Outside Group

No Such Thing as an Off Year for Consultants

2012 Senate Overview (April 8, 2011)

Republicans Ready to Unveil Compromise Map in Louisiana

LeMieux Nabs Jon Lerner to Advise Senate Bid

Trump in 2012? Not Every Stupid Idea Is Funny

Odds Are Against Lugar in Bid for Seventh Term

2011-12 Gubernatorial Outlook (April 1, 2011)

New Iowa Map Pits Incumbents Against Each Other

Redistricting Doesn’t Always Go as Planned

GOP Struggles to Figure Out Voter File Future

Guy Cecil Returns to Defend Democratic Majority

New Democratic poll paints premature fight for the House

Are GOP Freshmen Ready to Rumble in 2012?

New York 26: Democrats to Nominate Hochul on Sunday

Tim Kaine Might Not Be the Perfect Answer

Montana Senate: Test(er) Time