Analysis

1217 Results

The Republican Brand’s Recovery Tour — Sort Of

There was a time, a little less than a year ago, when Democrats salivated at the thought of running against the GOP brand and demonizing Republican candidates by attacking them and their party for “shutting down the government.” But the Republican brand has largely recovered from its low point in late October, and even former […]

A National Election or a Localized One?

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The Best Ads of 2014 – Oh Really?

A few weeks ago, I noticed a piece in Time headlined “The Best 6 Political Campaign Ads of the Summer (So Far).” I’ve written columns about “the best” this or “the worst” that, so I’m certainly not opposed to columns that list personal assessments or even personal preferences. But my reaction to the Time magazine […]

Senate Ratings vs. Senate Expecations

While the current Rothenberg Political Report ratings don’t show it, I am now expecting a substantial Republican Senate wave in November, with a net gain of at least seven seats. But I wouldn’t be shocked by a larger gain. Rothenberg Political Report ratings reflect both where a race stands and, more importantly, where it is […]

Republicans Use Birth Control as Campaign Wedge

Politics is mostly about both parties regurgitating well-established positions (on taxes, the environment, abortion and spending, for example) to appeal to base voters and demonize their opponents. But every so often, candidates from one party try a dramatically new message. That’s what is happening now in a number of swing districts and states, as a […]

Pat Roberts is the Most Vulnerable Republican Senator in the Country

Kansas Sen. Pat Roberts survived a competitive Republican primary but it looks like his toughest race is still to come. Democrat Chad Taylor dropped out of the race on Wednesday leaving independent Greg Orman as the senator’s main challenger and completely changing the math of the race.  A spectacular confluence of events has built the […]

Numbers Game Still Favors GOP Senate Majority

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2014 Senate Overview (August 29, 2014) Alabama – Kansas

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2014 Senate Overview (August 29, 2014) Kentucky – New Mexico

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2014 Senate Overview (August 29, 2014) North Carolina – Wyoming

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