Analysis

1217 Results

It’s a Blue House Wave, but Not Yet a Senate One

“The odds are greater than half we will take back the Senate.” — Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer on “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” last week. Democrats ought to temper their optimism about the fight for the Senate this year. Yes, Doug Jones’ victory in Alabama’s special election gives their party a path to […]

For Republicans, McSally Senate Run is Blessing, Curse

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The Democrats’ Savior

One year ago, as Donald Trump was preparing to take the oath of office, Democrats were in disarray. Supporters of 2016 nominee Hillary Clinton and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders were pointing fingers at each other, the Democratic National Committee was in disgrace, and Democratic voters were demoralized. Now, Trump has succeeded in doing something extraordinary, […]

2018 Senate Overview: Alabama Puts Democrats Closer to Majority

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The Fight for the Senate in the Wake of Alabama

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10 Thoughts After the Alabama Senate Election

One of the best parts about covering elections is that there is always a result. After all the prognosticating, projecting, discussing and arguing, there’s a winner. But determining the true meaning of victory and loss can be difficult. There will be plenty of time to analyze the Alabama Senate special election (at least until the […]

No One Is Afraid of a Government Shutdown

Call me crazy, but I'm not sure we won't see a government shutdodwn, even though Congress managed to pass a stopgap spending bill to fund the government through Dec. 22. Why? Because no one in Washington is particularly afraid of a government shutdown. Democrats aren’t afraid of a government shutdown because Republicans are in control […]

Ratings Update: Tennessee Senate Remains Solid R for Now

Democrats made a big splash this week with the entry of former Gov. Phil Bredesen into the Tennessee Senate race, but the party still has an uphill battle in a state President Donald Trump won convincingly, and it’s not even clear Bredesen gives Democrats the best chance of winning. On the surface, having a former […]

Ratings Change: Franken’s Minnesota Seat Starts as Likely for Democrats

Sen. Al Franken’s resignation puts another Democratic seat into the 2018 mix, but it’s still unclear whether his departure provides Republicans with a legitimate takeover opportunity. In order to handicap a race, it’s helpful to know where the contest will take place and who is running. In this case, we know the place is Minnesota, […]

Missouri Senate: Claire’s Courtship of Trump Voters

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