Analysis

1217 Results

Trump Numbers Are Up. And Down. But Really Unchanged.

New national polls show voters are more upbeat about President Donald Trump’s performance and more pessimistic about the Democrats’ chances of taking back the House. Or not. An April 8-11 Washington Post-ABC News poll showed Trump’s job approval rating at 40 percent, while 56 percent disapproved of his performance. An April 8-11 NBC News/Wall Street […]

2018 Senate Overview: Two Americas

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Senate Overview (April 20, 2018): Maryland – Ohio

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Senate Overview (April 20, 2018): Pennsylvania – Wyoming

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(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Push Polls Saga, Cynthia Nixon, and Minnesota’s 8th

By Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam Arkansas’ 2nd District: Congratulations to Democrat Clarke Tucker’s campaign for using the term “robocalls” in a press release even though the local media referred to them as a “push poll,” which it most likely wasn’t since push polls don’t exist. Colorado Governor: State Attorney General Cynthia Coffman, recent […]

(Mostly) Political One-Liners: Arizona 8 Special, Ryan’s Exit, and NFL Fashion

by Nathan L. Gonzales and Leah Askarinam Arizona’s 8th District Special (a): Welcome to the big leagues, Democrat Hiral Tipirneni, who we’re learning hasn’t treated patients since 2011 and settled a malpractice lawsuit. Arizona’s 8th District Special (b): Nathan told The Arizona Republic that “under normal conditions you would have to say that Republicans would […]

Rating Change: Florida Senate Shifts to Toss-up

Florida Gov. Rick Scott’s plans have been talked about for so long that it would have been shocking if he hadn’t announced his challenge to Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson today. Now that the Republican governor is officially in, the Sunshine State is poised to host an expensive race with national implications. Of course Democrats are […]

Nathan’s (Mostly) Political One-Liners: Fraudulent Signatures, Roseanne, and Kindness

Florida Senate (a): GOP Gov. Rick Scott may not win the race this year, but it will be an expensive slog for Democrats and Sen. Bill Nelson, despite the confidence American Bridge projected in a memo Wednesday.  Florida Senate (b): Democrats attacking Scott for being a weak vote-getter in favorable GOP years is rich considering […]

Nathan’s (Mostly) Political One-Liners: Barn Jackets, HGTV and Pop Punk Music

My inclination is to write 4,000 words about everything, so I’m trying something new by limiting myself to one line of a thought or analysis per race/existential thought. Here it goes: Arizona’s 8th District. With EMILY’s List endorsing Democrat Hiral Tipirneni and the Republican National Committee, National Republican Congressional Committee, and Congressional Leadership Fund spending […]

How Women Could Lose Senate Seats in the Latest Year of the Woman

Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith’s appointment in Mississippi will bring the number of women in the U.S. Senate to 23, the largest in U.S. history. While there’s room for that number to grow in the November midterm elections, with a handful of women in both parties running in competitive seats, it’s also possible for the number of […]