Independence Day 2020 was a time of reflection for some, a time of celebration for others, and time off for pollsters. Relatively few new polls were released in the days surrounding the holiday, but available surveys still suggest a wide gap between Joe Biden and President Donald Trump. In an average of 14 national polls […]
Weeks before the 1996 general election, operatives at the Republican National Committee and National Republican Congressional Committee urged GOP campaigns to adopt a last-minute, new strategy. As New York Times reporter Adam Clymer wrote, they urged “their party’s Congressional candidates to cut loose from Bob Dole and press voters to maintain a Republican majority and […]
Any conversation about DC statehood will inevitably include Republicans predicting a permanent influx of Democrats on Capitol Hill. But history reveals that two additional Democratic senators would rarely have made a difference in control of the Senate over the last half century. In late June, the House of Representatives passed a DC statehood bill for […]
While President Donald Trump’s re-election is at its most precarious point yet, another hot issue is moving into the conversation which could delay or prevent him from regaining his footing. Trump has slipped significantly in the polls, both nationwide and in crucial swing states, against former vice president Joe Biden, and he suffered an embarrassing […]
June has been a rocky month for relations between President Donald Trump and the pollsters of America. Following his renewed admonishment of outlets who publish unfavorable toplines — along with his steadfast endorsement of dubious “unskewed” data — the president seems to realize he’s behind right now. Indeed, in an average of national polls conducted […]
In 2014, Republicans took over nine Democratic Senate seats — the largest gain in two decades — and with them control of the chamber for the first time since 2006. Six years, two Senate elections, and one presidential upset later, the Republican Senate majority teeters on an edge, as the same class of seats that […]
No matter how you look at the polls, or which polls you look at, Joe Biden is gaining nationally. In fact, according to the present Presidential Snapshot in Time, the former vice president is benefiting from his most comfortable edge in months. Across 34 national surveys released from May 30 through June 12, Biden led […]