The biggest political realignment in the 2016 presidential election was a shift based on education. President Donald Trump made major gains for a Republican among non-college educated voters, while Hillary Clinton made major gains for a Democrat among college-educated voters. This trend manifested in traditionally Republican Georgia, where Clinton made major gains with college-educated voters […]
The conventions are over and the polls are trickling in: as of right now, there doesn’t appear to be much of a bounce for either now-official nominee. In an average of 34 polls released over the past two weeks, Joe Biden led Donald Trump by 8.1 points (49.8 percent to 41.8 percent). Compared to the […]
Predicting election outcomes can be a fraught business. You don’t have to look further than the 2016 presidential race to see that But for some races, one candidate has such an advantage — due to the constituency’s partisan lean, candidate quality, or other factors — that their path to office is nearly assured. Those are […]
Whether you believe in convention bounces or not, President Donald Trump and the Republicans need one to salvage the elections this fall. On the current trajectory, former Vice President Joe Biden is likely to win the White House and Democrats are more likely than not to take control of the Senate. And even though the […]
When Mississippi Rep. Mike Espy took the stage at the 1988 Democratic National Convention, he was a rising star casting a vision for a New South. Thirty-two years later, Espy believes his state is finally ready to turn the page and elect him to the U.S. Senate. Less than two years before his prime-time slot […]