On his way to becoming the first person to defeat an incumbent president since Bill Clinton in 1992, Joe Biden also replicated another one of the Arkansas governor’s feats: winning Georgia, something no Democratic presidential candidate has done in 28 years. Along with Biden’s narrow win — confirmed by hand recount this week — Democrats […]
While we won't know who controls the Senate next year until after the Georgia runoffs, the battle will continue into the 2022 midterms. Similar to 2020, Republicans will start on the defensive, and Democrats are initially poised to make gains once again. But the cycle will likely be defined by the actions of the White […]
If your job involves the elections, you’re going to be humbled at some point, and probably more than once. Apparently four years is long enough to almost forget the fun and challenges of handicapping an election with Donald Trump on the ballot. With votes still being counted and races still to be called, it’s too […]
An updated version of this article is available here. With President Donald Trump’s initial lead dissipating in Georgia, GOP Sen. David Perdue looks increasingly likely to be forced into a January runoff against Democrat Jon Ossoff. Perdue’s share of the vote is close to dipping below 50 percent, which would trigger Georgia’s unique runoff law. […]
Based on everything else that has happened this year, this is a fitting end to the 2020 elections, as the fights for the White House and Senate continue on past Election Day. The scenario of extended uncertainty shouldn’t be a surprise, since the media has been talking about the need for patience for months. But […]
As you prepare for tonight, make sure you’re following the entire Inside Elections team on Twitter: @nathanlgonzales @JacobRubashkin @ryanmatsumoto1 @BradWascher @StuPolitics, and the main account: @InsideElections. It’s Election Day in America, and there’s a lot riding on the outcome. Not only is control of the White House and Congress at stake, Americans everywhere will have […]
Election Day is this Tuesday, and while it might seem like an eternity since the midterms, it’s only been two years since Americans last went to the polls to elect their members of Congress. In this article, we’re taking a look back at the last 20 or so months and how our outlook on the […]
As one of the closest battlegrounds in recent election years, North Carolina is often referred to as a microcosm of the nation’s trends: its urban areas are becoming more liberal, and its rural areas are becoming more conservative. One way to understand North Carolina’s politics is by studying the trends within its individual congressional districts. […]
The 2020 campaign isn’t quite over yet, but it is reaching the denouement. And as the final surveys continue to trickle in until Tuesday, now is a great time to step back and contextualize the trends driving the past six months of general election polls. Starting off with today’s topline: in an average of the […]