Analysis

4239 Results

Report Shorts (November 19, 2021)

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Texas Redistricting: A Lone Swing Seat in the Lone Star State?

One of the largest states in the country will host some of the fewest competitive House races over the next decade. By signing into law Texas’s new congressional map late last month, Republican Gov. Greg Abbott approved a plan that will likely make federal elections in the state much less exciting. Texas gained two new […]

Iowa Redistricting: Republicans Looking for the Sweep

Republicans defeated two of the three Democratic members in Iowa in 2020 and are hoping to finish the job next year. Beating Democratic Rep. Cindy Axne would give the GOP full control of the four-member delegation and a net gain of one seat on their march to the majority.  After rejecting the first map drawn […]

New Hampshire Senate: Sununu Will Not Run

New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu’s decision not to run for the U.S. Senate is big news, but the Granite State is still a winnable race for Republicans looking to reclaim the majority next year.  The Tuesday announcement from Sununu, a popular three-term governor, that he will seek re-election to a fourth term, is a temporary […]

Arizona Senate: Desert Storm

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Candidate Conversation: Val Arkoosh (D)

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Virginia and New Jersey Governor: A Big Night for Republicans

Even though the Virginia gubernatorial race is just one race in one state (OK, commonwealth), Republican Glenn Youngkin’s victory will reverberate around the country and set the early stage for the 2022 midterm elections. Considering the next big Election Day is a year away, there will be plenty of time to digest the results from […]

Rating Change: Virginia Governor to Toss-up

Under normal conditions, Democrats win in Virginia. But these clearly aren’t normal conditions. In the final moments of the 2021 race for governor, it’s clear that the race is coming down to the wire and Democrats no longer have a discernible advantage. We’re changing our rating from Tilt Democratic to Toss-up, a positive sign for […]

West Virginia Redistricting: When the Music Stops

In April it was written, and in October it was sealed. 2022 will see at least one member-vs.-member House race. Back in the spring, census data confirmed that West Virginia’s population had shrunk 3 percent since 2010, and that it would lose one of its three congressional districts in the reapportionment process. With three incumbent […]

California Governor: Education Continues to be Key Vote Indicator

A month after polls closed, California has finally finished counting all the ballots for the recall election. In the end, it wasn’t close — Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom prevailed 62-38 percent. While polling pointed to a relatively competitive race for a few weeks, Newsom actually matched his margin from the 2018 gubernatorial election. Democrats in […]