Analysis

4239 Results

Facing a Wave, Republicans Could Still Win at Least One Dem Seat

Democrats need to net fifteen seats on November 7 in order to win a majority in the House. And that’s not an unreasonable goal, give that in the most recent edition of the Rothenberg Political Report, we predicted Democrats to gain between 15 and 20 seats. But everyone (party strategists, journalists, and handicappers alike) should […]

Candidates from Both Parties Shun Partisan Label

Newsflash! President Bush is unpopular. No wonder Democrats across the country are dutifully attempting to tie every Republican candidate to their unpopular leader. But most Republicans are under no illusions about the President’s standing or mood of the electorate. They know voters are hostile. Instead of embracing the President and featuring themselves arm-in-arm with the […]

New Print Edition: House Outlook for 2006

The new August 25, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.) House Outlook For 2006 By Stuart Rothenberg Strong fund raising by the DCCC should mean that some Democratic candidates won’t face the huge financial discrepancy that they have in the past, though […]

New Print Edition: House Outlook for 2006

The new August 25, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.) House Outlook For 2006 By Stuart Rothenberg Strong fund raising by the DCCC should mean that some Democratic candidates won’t face the huge financial discrepancy that they have in the past, though […]

Pennsylvania Senate & Virginia Senate: New Numbers, Same Races

Well, there are new numbers out in both the Pennsylvania and Virginia Senate races, and to hear some of the spin, those races are starting to turn on their heads. Here’s my advice: Don’t get carried away. The changes in both races are, so far, superficial. The fundamentals basically remain unchanged. In Pennsylvania, Republicans (and […]

Connecticut Senate: Can Joe Lieberman Really Win?

When Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman announced on primary night that he was going to run for reelection as an Independent, I was a little surprised. The closeness of the contest obviously encouraged supporters of the senator to think that he could win a three-way race, and the senator himself clearly was buoyed by the relative […]

Nevada Governor: Primary Results Good for GOP

As expected, Rep. Jim Gibbons won the Republican gubernatorial nomination with 48% over state Sen. Bob Beers and Lt. Gov. Lorraine Hunt. State Senate Minority Leader Dina Titus won the Democratic primary convincingly, 53%-36%, over Henderson Mayor Jim Gibson. But her win makes a Democratic takeover in Nevada more difficult. Titus had the backing of […]

Looking for a Big Message From Tuesday? There Ain’t One

Once again we are all scrambling to find an explanation — a dramatic trend or some big conclusion that can make us all feel insightful — from Tuesday’s primary results. Well, there isn’t much of one, despite what you may have read or heard. As everyone who has taken a course on methodology knows, there […]

New Print Edition: 2006 Gubernatorial Outlook

The new August 11, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.) 2006 Gubernatorial Outlook While House and Senate Democrats garner the bulk of the national media attention, many of the best Democratic opportunities this cycle are in races for governor. Republicans start the […]

New Print Edition: 2006 Gubernatorial Outlook

The new August 11, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. (Click here for subscription information.) 2006 Gubernatorial Outlook While House and Senate Democrats garner the bulk of the national media attention, many of the best Democratic opportunities this cycle are in races for governor. Republicans start the […]