Analysis

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As Predicted, a Wave Washes Republicans Out to Sea

Well, don’t say we didn’t warn you. Tuesday’s balloting was about what we expected. A relatively large political wave swept almost 30 House Republicans out of office and appears to have delivered the Senate to Democrats. Of course, we won’t know the status of control of the Senate for a while, but whatever happens in Virginia and Montana,…

Turn Back the Clock: Rothenberg Report on CNN Nov. 2

You know you’ve arrived when you’re on both the Situation Room and YouTube. It’s all downhill from here. Anyway, here’s a clip of our election predictions from November 2.

Down to the Wire: Expect a Big Night for Democrats

This column is available free at RollCall.com for a limited time. With only a few hours remaining until the votes start being counted, there is little uncertainty about the fight for the House, except for questions about exactly which Republican incumbents will be lucky enough to survive. Polls over the past few weeks have seen many Republicans who…

2006 Election Night Viewer Guide

Even for the diehard political junkie, following ninety races for the House, Senate, and governor on Election Night would be quite a feat. So, here is a simple game plan for tackling November 7, to give you a good idea as to what’s happening nationwide. 7pm (EST) – The House Kentucky 4 – Rep. Geoff Davis (R) is…

Just Hours Until Democratic Gains

With less than a week to go before Election Day, we now know the GOP’s October surprise: Sen. John Kerry (D-Mass.). And you wondered why White House political guru Karl Rove sounded so upbeat and certain that Republicans would hold both chambers of Congress? Kerry, who already destroyed one election for his party, apparently is trying to make…

Excerpts from Latest Print Edition

Here are some excerpts from the new November 2 print edition of The Rothenberg Political Report. (To subscribe, click here.) The Senate: “While Senate control is in doubt, with Democrats most likely to win from 5 to 7 seats, we do not think the two sides have an equal chance of winning a majority in the Senate. Instead,…

State Legislature Ratings

The Rothenberg Political Report is changing its call on three legislative chambers: the New Hampshire Senate and the Michigan House and Senate. All three are held by the Republicans, and while all three will continue to lean to the GOP, there is now a real possibility that some or all of them could be taken over by the…

New Print Edition: National Outlook & Ratings

The new November 2, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The new ratings are available online, but for the full explanation and analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition. This is our final print edition before the election. Stay tuned to the website for late breaking analysis and rating…

New Print Edition: National Outlook & Ratings

The new November 2, 2006 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The new ratings are available online, but for the full explanation and analysis, you must subscribe to the print edition. This is our final print edition before the election. Stay tuned to the website for late breaking analysis and rating…

Word to the Wise: Don’t Ignore Independents This Year

While all of us following this year’s midterms are spending most of our time talking about the GOP’s “base” problems and speculating about whether conservatives and evangelicals will stay home next month, we are missing a story that could turn out to be as big, or even bigger: independents. Of course, fewer Americans vote in midterm elections than…

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