Analysis

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Can Sen. Clinton Be Elected to the White House in 2008?

If activists, political insiders and journalists are asking whether former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani can win the Republican nomination for president, they are equally consumed with the question of whether Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) can win the White House. Let’s skip the suspense and cut right to the answer: Yes. While some of […]

Biden: How to Be Wrong and Right at the Same Time

When Delaware Senator and Presidential hopeful Joe Biden (D) described Illinois Senator Barack Obama as “the first mainstream African-American who is articulate and bright and clean and a nice-looking guy,” he created the ultimate sin: He used inelegant and politically incorrect language to make a perfectly correct point. While I’m not entirely sure what the […]

Musical Chairs in Georgia in 2010?

Don’t be surprised in four years if a couple significant Georgia Republicans attempt to switch roles. In 2010, Gov. Sonny Perdue (R) will be term-limited and could very well seek an open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by Sen. Johnny Isakson (R), who would run for governor, according to one GOP insider familiar with the situation. […]

KY Governor: Northup Poll Shows Dead Heat in Primary

A new poll for former Cong. Anne Northup has her running even with incumbent Gov. Ernie Fletcher in the Republican primary. The January 28-29 Public Opinion Strategies survey showed Northup and Fletcher at 39% each, wealthy businessman Billy Harper at 10%, and 12% undecided. The candidates are shooting for 40% in the May 22 race […]

Are Democrats Surging Out West? Numbers Say No

More than a few journalists and political pontificators have noted recent Democratic gains in the Mountain West, which includes Wyoming, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, Utah, Colorado, Arizona and New Mexico. Some see those gains in 2004 and 2006 as shattering a reliable Republican region, while others argue recent wins are only the beginning of a Democratic […]

Say What? RNC Attacks Hillary

From a January 30, 2007 Republican National Committee Research Briefing about Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton entitled, “Hillary Swipes John Edwards’ 2003 Language and Ideas….” First, the RNC charged that Senator Clinton stole Edwards’ story about his father, presenting the following evidence: Hillary In 2007: “[My father] believed in the basic bargain that America offered. You […]

Say What? Mississippi Senate

From a January 29, 2007 Roll Call story on Sen. Thad Cochran (R-MS) and his looming decision on whether to seek reelection: “Thad Cochran has a long history of putting Washington before Mississippi,” according to DSCC spokesperson Dierdre Murphy, “and it is going to hurt his Senate re-election bid in 2008.” My reaction? If Cochran […]

Say What? Tom Vilsack

[Say What? is a new semi-regular feature on RothenbergPoliticalReport.com] Stuart Rothenberg From a January 29, 2007 Tom Vilsack for President press release, reporting that the Democratic Presidential hopeful raised “more than $1.1 million in last 7 weeks of 2006.” “Tom Vilsack proved…that he’ll have the money to campaign across America in 2007 and win the […]

Say What? Minnesota Senate

[A new, semi-regular feature on RothenbergPoliticalReport.com] Stuart Rothenberg Okay, I know that I shouldn’t do this, but I’m going to do it anyway. We’re starting a semi-regular feature in which we identify really, really silly comments that we read or hear. I know that I’m not single-handedly going to cause people to stop saying dumb […]

For Democrats, Bergen County Spells Success

For Republicans, New Jersey, once a GOP-leaning, anti-tax state, stands as a stark reminder of how things have changed, particularly in the Northeast. But the better example — and warning of things to come — is Bergen County, a suburban bedroom community that has moved away from its Republican roots and toward the Democratic Party. […]