Analysis

4239 Results

New Print Edition: Louisiana 6 & Pennsylvania 11

The March 21, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage of […]

New York 26: Reynolds Won’t Run Again

WKBW-TV in Buffalo, N.Y. is reporting that Cong. Tom Reynolds (R-NY) will not seek reelection and that the official announcement will be made on Thursday. Reynolds’ exit means that the last two NRCC chairmen, Reynolds and Virginia Republican Tom Davis, will not seek reelection this year. The news could well lead to other GOP retirements, […]

New York 26: Reynolds Won’t Run Again

By Stuart Rothenberg WKBW-TV in Buffalo, N.Y. is reporting that Cong. Tom Reynolds (R-NY) will not seek reelection and that the official announcement will be made on Thursday. Reynolds’ exit means that the last two NRCC chairmen, Reynolds and Virginia Republican Tom Davis, will not seek reelection this year. The news could well lead to […]

Poll Warning: Be on the Lookout for Bad Numbers, Analysis

This looks like another excellent cycle for Democratic Congressional prospects, as the party benefits from strong fundraising, an impressive crop of recruits and a wind at its back that stems from a damaged GOP brand and voters’ desire for change. Maybe that’s why two polls stand out like sore thumbs. The first is a Feb. […]

Minnesota Senate: New Group Airs Pro-Coleman Issue Ad

American Future Fund, a 501 (c) (4) group based in Iowa, will begin airing a 30-second TV ad on Wednesday March 19 praising the efforts of Senator Norm Coleman (R-Minn.) and urging viewers to call him to “thank him for his agenda for Minnesota.” The ad opens by asserting that Coleman, who faces a difficult […]

All the Handicapping That’s Fit to Print on the ’08 Senate Races

Thirteen months ago in this space (“For Democrats, Time to Pad Senate Majority and Think 60 Seats,” Feb. 12, 2007), I suggested that Democrats had the opportunity to make significant Senate gains this cycle that would position them for a shot at 60 seats in 2010, when once again more Republican than Democratic seats will […]

Should McCain Fret About Bush — and About Disappearing?

No sooner had Arizona Sen. John McCain won enough delegates to claim the Republican presidential nomination than some talking heads began to assert that this was bad news for him. The logic of these observers was simple. First, because the GOP race is now over, McCain will largely disappear from the news, which will instead […]

Mississippi 1: Russell Expected to Endorse McCullough

Former Tupelo Mayor Glenn McCullough (R) and Southaven Mayor Greg Davis (R) are headed for an April 1 runoff in Mississippi’s 1st District, vacated when Roger Wicker (R) was appointed to the U.S. Senate. McCullough edged out Davis 39%-37% in Tuesday’s initial balloting, with Dr. Randy Russell finishing third with 24%. Now, Russell is likely […]

New Print Edition: Alaska At-Large & Arizona 8

The March 7, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks and the content is not available online. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage of […]

Illinois 14: More Bad News for the GOP

Bill Foster’s (D) victory in Illinois 14 was another dose of bad news for the Republican Party, but the national repercussions likely lie somewhere between the heavy spin coming from both Republicans and Democrats. The results don’t spell the end of the GOP, but demonstrates a party that still has considerable problems. And for Republicans […]