Analysis

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New Print Edition: Senate, House, Gubernatorial, Presidential Ratings

The October 17, 2008 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition comes out every two weeks (even more frequently as Election Day approaches). Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage of […]

House rematches may give clue to size of Democratic wave

WASHINGTON (CNN) — A dozen rematches are a good place to look between now and Election Day to see what kind of year the two parties are having in the fight for the U.S. House of Representatives. There is no question about whether Democrats will retain control. But it is unclear exactly how many seats […]

Louisiana Senate: NRSC Back In

The National Republican Senatorial Committee has reversed an earlier decision to cancel its last two weeks of advertising in Louisiana. Instead, it has purchased TV time next week and will wait to decide whether to buy the final week before Election Day. The decision comes on the heels of GOP polling showing that Sen. Mary […]

GOP May Target Mahoney Media Firm in Other Districts

With Rep. Tim Mahoney (D-Fla.) embroiled in an alleged sex scandal, Republicans are putting on the full-court press to broaden the scandal to other districts by implicating House Democratic leadership — and, potentially, Mahoney’s former media firm. According to the initial ABC News report, Mahoney allegedly promised his mistress a $50,000-a-year job with his media […]

California 3: Lungren Responds to Challenger With Two Polls

On the heels of his opponent releasing a poll showing a statistically even race, Rep. Dan Lungren (R-Calif.) countered by paying for two polls by separate pollsters, each showing him with a significant lead. An Oct. 7 survey for the Republican’s campaign, conducted by pollster Val Smith, showed him leading physician Bill Durston (D) 47 […]

Massachusetts Senate: Kerry Visits ‘South Pacific’ for Re-Election Bid

With Election Day just three weeks away, Sen. John Kerry (D) doesn’t seem the least bit worried about his re-election. The Massachusetts Senator was spotted exiting the Lincoln Center Theater in Manhattan on Saturday night after catching the revival of Rodgers and Hammerstein’s “South Pacific.” Four years ago, Kerry probably envisioned his October 2008 looking […]

Swing Districts Will Show What Election Night Looks Like

As we inch toward November, it looks as if a couple of dozen House races will determine whether Democrats will have a terrific night or merely a good one. Expectations continue to change, and the bar is getting very, very high for Democrats. Eighteen months ago, the idea that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee might […]

Candidate Gets Very Early Start

Rick Hendrix announced his 2010 campaign for Congress a few weeks ago. But his campaign is off to an unconventional start — beginning with the fact that he hasn’t chosen a district to run in yet. That hasn’t stopped the entertainment industry insider from promoting his candidacy, however. “After his speech to a corner of […]

Why is Dole Vulnerable and Not Collins?

WASHINGTON (CNN) — Two years ago, as the 2007-2008 election cycle was beginning, one female Republican senator up for re-election looked to be in serious danger: Maine’s Susan Collins. But with just three weeks left until Election Day, the moderate Collins now appears to be one of the few embattled Republican senators who could survive […]

Michigan 9: State Democrats Try to Use Palin as Wedge

For the last three years, the predominant Democratic strategy has been to tie every breathing Republican to unpopular President Bush. Now, Michigan Democrats believe coupling the GOP vice presidential nominee, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, with Rep. Joe Knollenberg (R) will help them win his seat. “Knollenberg and Palin — Two Peas in a Pod of […]