Analysis

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It’s Time for All to Recharge Their Batteries

If a picture is worth a thousand words, then the photograph on the cover of this newspaper’s July 28 edition is worth an entire library. The photo, showing Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) looking straight ahead in a trance-like state and House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.), slightly out of focus, standing just behind her, is […]

Sizing Up the 2010 Senate Contests in the Summer of 2009

Six months ago, the 2010 Senate battlefield looked relatively bare, with a few obvious skirmishes mostly in states with GOP incumbents. Three months later, the outlook had brightened dramatically for Democrats, largely the result of a number of GOP retirements and solid Democratic recruiting on those open seats. But now, as the dog days of […]

New Jersey Governor: You Have 4 Months To Learn to Say ‘Gov. Chris Christie’

The raid last week in New Jersey that resulted in the arrest of 44 people, including a number of officeholders, probably is the straw that breaks Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine’s back in November. When I asked one longtime Democratic insider about the race, it took him all of two words to assess Corzine’s prospects: “It’s […]

Obama, Biden Seats in Danger?

Lost in the focus on President Barack Obama and Vice President Joseph Biden’s history-making move down Pennsylvania Avenue to the White House in January was the fact that Republicans have a historic opportunity to pick up the pair’s former Senate seats. Over the past century, half of the dozen seats vacated by a new president […]

Capitol Hill Democrats Have Met Their Enemy and It Is Them

Earlier this week, I asked a veteran Washington-based Democratic political operative who has worked for more than his share of liberals whether he had seen any indication that grass-roots “progressives” were getting angry with the party’s performance on Capitol Hill and were starting to make their anger known. “No. No. Not yet,” he said, shaking […]

Late Primaries Can Equal Big Headaches in Targeted Races

As House Republicans are drawing up their list of top Democratic targets in 2010, a familiar enemy awaits: the primary election calendar. A handful of the GOP’s best takeover opportunities are in states such as Arizona, Maryland, Florida and New Hampshire, where late and crowded primaries have the potential to put the party’s nominee at […]

Midterms, History and the Expectations Game for the House in 2010

One of the jobs of nonpartisan analysts is to keep the parties honest. Partisans have a tendency to talk themselves into certain opinions, and there are enough data out there to make any case they wish. Nowhere is this more obvious than in the expectations game. Over the past few months, both Democratic and Republican […]

New Print Edition: 2010 Senate Overview

The July 23, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as quarterly House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. […]

Running Against Bush: Can It Work Again for Democrats in 2010?

Democrats ran against Herbert Hoover for decades. Republicans ran against Jimmy Carter for years. Can Democrats make 2010 another referendum on George W. Bush, or at least use the unpopular former president to demonize Republicans in competitive races? Democratic operatives assert that running against the former president next year isn’t going to be the focus […]

Educating America About a Judge and Other Summer Follies

In a stunning statement Monday sure to affect her confirmation prospects, Supreme Court nominee Sonia Sotomayor pledged her “fidelity to the law.” That must have been regarded as big news to the folks over at the Washington Post, since that was the bold headline on Page One of Tuesday’s newspaper. Tomorrow’s headline in the newspaper […]