Analysis

4239 Results

Ohio 12: A Day Late and a Dollar Short?

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Parties Solidifying Redistricting Plans

Republicans were at risk of falling further behind Democrats in organizing for the post-2010 round of redistricting, but a new group led by former Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) and former Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott (R-Miss.) is looking to fill the gap. Redistricting may seem like a far-off exercise, but both parties are solidifying their […]

In Virginia, Culture War Looks Very Much Alive on One Side

Somebody needs to tell Virginia gubernatorial candidate Creigh Deeds that the “culture wars” are over. Apparently, he didn’t get the memo. Deeds is banking on completing his comeback in this year’s Virginia gubernatorial race by portraying Republican nominee Bob McDonnell, the commonwealth’s former attorney general, as a Neanderthal who opposes abortion, birth control and women […]

Seniors, Health Care and Their Impact on the 2010 Midterms

The nation’s two main political parties are a little like an old married couple. Both are carrying chips on their shoulders from past slights and injustices, real and imagined. It’s all about “getting even” these days — plus a dose of short-term politics for good measure. The current fight over health care reform, and particularly […]

Ohio 15: For Some Incumbents, Vulnerability Is Already a Fact of Life

It’s just after Labor Day of the off year, but at least a dozen House incumbents who narrowly won last year already have formidable opponents for 2010. One of the most vulnerable surely is Rep. Mary Jo Kilroy (D-Ohio), a freshman who represents Union and Madison counties, as well as a part of Franklin County. […]

Parties Watching 2009 Races for Clues

With the midterm elections more than a year away, all eyes are on this fall’s gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey. But instead of simply tallying wins and losses, party operatives are digging below the surface for clues as to what the political environment will be like next year. In Virginia, Republicans are watching […]

South Carolina 2: Forget Health Care and Afghanistan: Let’s All Talk About Joe Wilson

The idea that South Carolina Rep. Joe Wilson (R) created a firestorm about anything is amusing. Who, other than his buddies in the House and his constituents in the Palmetto State, has ever heard of the guy? But the 2nd district Congressman’s ill-advised, improper and inappropriate shout during President Barack Obama’s speech to a joint […]

Poll Results Daunting for Democrats in ’09 Gubernatorial Races

Given that I’ve spent the past 30 years reporting on and analyzing candidates, campaigns and elections, it should come as no surprise that I believe that campaigns matter. I’ve seen more than enough candidates who appeared headed to victory stumble their way to defeat during the post-Labor Day stretch. But cycle fundamentals are crucial, too, […]

New GOP Poll Shows Changing Political Reality

A newly released Republican survey of 1,200 likely voters conducted Aug. 25-26 by OnMessage Inc. suggests that the national political landscape has changed noticeably over the past two months, with Republicans benefiting. The survey, which was released Thursday, shows Democrats and Republicans tied at 36 percent in the Congressional generic ballot, a dramatic improvement for […]

All Signs Point to Another Top-Notch Election Cycle in 2010

I began this year doubtful that we’d see much excitement in the 2010 elections. I’m quickly changing my tune. After two big elections, Democrats didn’t have many opportunities left in the House. GOP Senate retirements seemed to open the door to more Democratic gains, but with the Democrats controlling 59 (then 60) seats, additional party […]