Analysis

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Colorado Senate: Proving Ground

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2010 Gubernatorial Outlook Shows Voters’ Desire for Change

Voters were angry in 2006, frustrated with the costs of the war in Iraq, dissatisfied with the Bush administration (particularly its response to Hurricane Katrina) and responding to Democratic calls for change. Four years later, the public’s mood is even worse, as kitchen table issues have moved to the forefront of public concern. With unemployment […]

Hulu’s On First?

It’s hard to imagine a place with millions of eyeballs and no political advertising. Last cycle, the on-demand video Web site Hulu.com was only in its infancy, but with a growing audience, it could be difficult to ignore in future elections. This year, there has been a trickle of online video advertising on other news […]

NC Senate: Will Marshall’s Senate Campaign Equal Her Recent P.R. Campaign?

Over the past few weeks, North Carolina Secretary of State Elaine Marshall (D), who is challenging Sen. Richard Burr (R-N.C.), has been on a public relations offensive. First, there was a Lake Research Partners memo on incumbent Burr’s standing with state voters. Then there was a “Senate Primary Analysis” from Thomas Mills, who runs a […]

30-Somethings Aim for Aging Senate

Illinois state Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias (D) was 4 years old when Rep. Mike Castle (R) was elected lieutenant governor of Delaware. But come 2011 the two men could serve together in the Senate. Giannoulias, 33, is one of a handful of young candidates running to become a member of what is now the oldest — […]

Rothenberg’s Dangerous Dozen House Seats for 2010

Regular readers of this column know that I’ve been rating the most vulnerable House seats — open and incumbent — for years. It’s that time again, and since there aren’t yet enough competitive open seats to rate by themselves, this list includes the dozen most vulnerable seats in the House. There are two caveats that […]

New Print Edition: 2010 Gubernatorial Outlook

The November 30, 2009 print edition of the Rothenberg Political Report is on its way to subscribers. The print edition of the Report comes out every two weeks. Subscribers get in-depth analysis of the most competitive races in the country, as well as updated House and Senate ratings, and coverage of the gubernatorial races nationwide. […]

2010 Gubernatorial Overview (November 30, 2009)

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If Everyone Is Looking at the Economy, Watch Foreign Policy

It was more than 10 months ago (Jan. 6, It May Not Be the Economy, Stupid, in the End) that I wrote in this space that, despite the nation’s focus on the economy and multiple assessments that Barack Obama’s presidency would depend on his actions on the economy during the first 100 days, the president’s […]

Sarah Palin? Frankly, My Dear, I Don’t Give a Damn

If you are planning on reading a column about former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin’s presidential prospects, you will be deeply disappointed. I don’t know whether Palin will run for president in 2012, and right now I don’t really care. Most in the media do care, of course, which is why they can’t seem to stop […]