Analysis

4239 Results

Stu Talks IL, DE Senate on Newshour

Stu talked about the Illinois and Delaware Senate races last night on the Newshour. You can watch the video below or click on this link.

Don’t Hold Your Breath for an Anti-Incumbent Election

Voters are angry, especially at Washington, D.C., and with politicians. They are unhappy with both parties. All that is generally true. But voters’ dissatisfaction with those in charge doesn’t mean that November is likely to be an “anti-incumbent election.” In fact, it almost certainly won’t. We never, or almost never, have true anti-incumbent elections, as […]

Can Candidates Accept Text Contributions?

Americans are donating to the Haiti relief effort at unprecedented levels through text messaging, but can congressional candidates use them same technology to solicit contributions? For now, the answer appears to be “no.” To help in the earthquake’s aftermath, people can contribute $10 by texting “Haiti” to 90999. The donation is added as a charge […]

From the Archives: Obama, Biden Seats in Danger?

With Democratic Attorney General Beau Biden (D) officially out of the race, the Democratic hold on Vice President Joe Biden’s Senate seat is slipping away very quickly. Here is a piece I wrote in July on the scenario that Democrats could lose both the President’s and Vice President’s former seat. Friday, July 31, 2009Obama, Biden […]

Tuesday’s Result Raises New Questions for Both Parties

Now what? Republican Scott Brown’s clear victory over Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley (D) to fill the remainder of the term of the late Sen. Edward Kennedy (D) is shocking, given the state’s Democratic bent, recent showings by Republican federal candidates in Massachusetts and the GOP’s demise in New England over the past 15 years. […]

House Democrats Try to Prevent Exodus

In the wake of Republican Scott Brown’s upset victory in Massachusetts, House Democratic strategists are trying to reassure their Members that the party is prepared for a tough election. “House Democrats have been preparing since day one last year for what we knew historically would be a very challenging election cycle,” said a memo, obtained […]

Will Citizens United v. FEC Change the 2010 Elections?

Moments after the Supreme Court recognized corporations’ free speech rights in its 5-4 decision, individuals and groups from the left to the right churned out an avalanche of statements and press releases. Democrats, liberals and “good government groups” called the decision a “disaster,” predicting that corporations would drown future elections and cash and buy elections. […]

MA Senate: Thinking the Unthinkable

It’s difficult for any handicapper, professional or amateur, to think the unthinkable. And Republican Scott Brown defeating Attorney General Martha Coakley in the Massachusetts Senate special election to fill the remainder of the term of the late Sen. Edward Kennedy (D) certainly would have been unthinkable even a month ago. But it is unthinkable no […]

Can the GOP Afford a Wave?

After big gubernatorial wins in Virginia and New Jersey last year and the possibility of picking up the late Sen. Edward Kennedy’s (D-Mass.) seat in today’s special election, there’s no question that Republican spirits are high at the moment. But the bank accounts at the GOP campaign committees are disproportionately low, and there is some […]

The Politics of Personal Destruction, Capitol Hill-Style, Part II

Is it hypocrisy, payback or a simple case of media “gotcha?” It’s probably all three. But no matter what you call it, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid’s (D-Nev.) words as quoted in a new book by John Heilemann and Mark Halperin have had the nation’s capital and the national media abuzz since the weekend. The […]