Analysis

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Ohio: Ganley Switching Races, Will Challenge Sutton

Wealthy car dealer Tom Ganley (R) is dropping out of the open-seat Ohio Senate race and will challenge Rep. Betty Sutton (D) in the 13th district instead, according to a source familiar with the decision. The Ganley switch is a coup for Republicans because it gives former Rep. Rob Portman a clear path to the […]

Plus 10 in the Senate? Republicans Certainly Not There Yet

Having seen victories by Ronald Reagan and Barack Obama, the 1994 Republican and 2006 Democratic Congressional sweeps, and Sen. Scott Brown’s (R) recent Massachusetts victory, I’m not inclined to rule out unexpected outcomes — especially nine months before an event. But the recent explosion of talk of Republicans gaining 10 seats in the Senate is […]

Public Anger Continues to Hammer Incumbents

Stu was on the Newshour tonight with the Hotline’s Amy Walter talking about the public dissatisfaction with Washington and how it’s affecting incumbents. You can click on the video here or watch the video below.

It All Depends on the Meaning of Party Identification

I’ll admit it. I like numbers. Whether the number is a WHIP (walks and hits per innings pitched) when evaluating a baseball pitcher, a price-to-earnings ratio when evaluating a stock or a job approval when considering an incumbent’s re-election prospects, I rely on numbers to allow me to make comparisons and, often, projections for the […]

GOP Bets on Super Bowl Vets in 2010

Jon Runyan expected to be in Miami right now, getting ready to play in another Super Bowl, but instead he’s in New Jersey preparing to challenge an incumbent Member of Congress. After a dozen years in the National Football League and off-season knee surgery last year, Runyan looked like he was trading in his shoulder […]

For Republicans, Overconfidence Poses a Growing Problem

Maybe House Republicans learned their lesson last week after President Barack Obama joined them at their retreat and proved once again to be a very formidable opponent rather than a mere foil. But even if the president’s poised performance brought some of them back to reality, Democratic defeats in Virginia, New Jersey and Massachusetts, as […]

Dangerous Dozen Open House Seats

A little more than 10 years ago (Jan. 17, 2000, to be exact), I began writing my “Dangerous Dozen” columns about open House seats, and the recent flurry of retirements means there finally are enough to fill a list for the 2010 cycle. The fact that so many of the districts on this list are […]

Idaho 1: How the West is Won

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White House Taking More Flak From Its Political Allies

It isn’t surprising that Republican Members of Congress and their talking heads on television slam the Obama administration every day. Given the partisan divide, that’s probably inevitable. But what is surprising is the growing criticism coming from Democratic circles and from party political insiders of President Barack Obama, White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel […]

Hawaii 1: As the World Turns

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